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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leon Farrell           15    2   17     Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18
Sw Marius Jacobsen         4    2    6     Df Gordon Brown           15    2   17
Df Finlay Butcher         13    1   14     Df Algernon Murphy         8    2   10
Df Joshua Simpson          8    2   10     Df Wes Fitzgerald          4    2    6
Df Jannis Schmid           4    2    6     Df Lucas Taylor            4    2    6
Mf Alex Turner             8    2   10     Df Jack Burke              3    2    5
Mf Alexander Long          7    2    9     Mf Sheng Guo               8    2   10
Mf Jack Young              4    2    6     Mf Stewart Stewart         3    2    5
Fw Harley Dowson          14    1   15     Fw Evan Gerrard           13    2   15
Fw Ze'ev Bar               8    2   10     Fw Gerry Gray              4    2    6
Fw Daniel Pritchard        4    2    6     Fw Felipe Melo             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  6 30 25 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 44 15 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  6 30 25 31         T O T A L S       19  0 44 15 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.07 (no red card)

Sw Marius Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.89 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.38 (no red card)

Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.14 (no red card)

Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.54 (no red card)

Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.31 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.92 (no red card)

Mf Jack Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.34 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.16 (no red card)

Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.39 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Pritchard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.61 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 74.41 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.39 (no red card)

Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.54 (no red card)

Df Wes Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.34 (no red card)

Df Lucas Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)

Df Jack Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.28 (no red card)

Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.99 (no red card)

Mf Stewart Stewart: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.74 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Gray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)

Fw Felipe Melo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.56 (no injury) 
Sw Marius Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.54 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.22 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.69 (no injury) 
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.46 (no injury) 
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.06 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.93 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Young: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.51 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.35 (no injury) 
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.46 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Pritchard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 90.44 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no injury) 
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.92 (no injury) 
Df Wes Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.49 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Lucas Taylor is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jack Burke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.13 (no injury) 
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.33 (no injury) 
Mf Stewart Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.55 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.54 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Gray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.97 (no injury) 
Fw Felipe Melo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harley Dowson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 15

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17   6  30  25  31
  Welling United FC        19   0  44  15  27

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 44)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 5 ((25 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Joshua Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jack Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Jack Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19   0  44  15  27
  FC United of Manchester  17   6  30  25  31

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((44 - 31) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Wes Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Algernon Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Wes Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - FC United of Manchester Gk (Home): Leon Farrell SL 15

   - Welling United FC Gk (Away): Robert Morgan SL 16

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Leon Farrell (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 0  :  WEL - 0)

 Round 1: Robert Morgan (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 0  :  WEL - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Harley Dowson (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 75 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 0  :  WEL - 1)

 Round 2: Gordon Brown (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 0  :  WEL - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Finlay Butcher (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 42 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 1  :  WEL - 1)

 Round 3: Evan Gerrard (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 73 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 1  :  WEL - 1)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Joshua Simpson (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 89 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 1  :  WEL - 1)

 Round 4: Algernon Murphy (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 76 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 1  :  WEL - 1)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Alex Turner (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 50 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 2  :  WEL - 1)

 Round 5: Sheng Guo (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 2  :  WEL - 2)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Ze'ev Bar (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 70 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 2  :  WEL - 2)

 Round 6: Wes Fitzgerald (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 36% | Random number = 68 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 2  :  WEL - 2)

************   ROUND 7    ************
 Round 7: Alexander Long (FCU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 23 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FCU - 3  :  WEL - 2)

 Round 7: Lucas Taylor (WEL) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 36% | Random number = 57 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FCU - 3  :  WEL - 2)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
Kmart plans to throw at least one match per session, which is either tactical genius or the most honest thing anyone has said in football. Eduard Habermann stands opposite, presumably hoping for the other kind.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/06 - 7:32 PM  
This has the feel of a Midwest U.S.A. Goodbye: one guy looks at the other after a lengthy pause, slaps his thigh and says, “Welp. See ya’ later.” And then departs. Thus goes our Youth Cup this season
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/08 - 8:49 PM  
Kmart allegedly throws matches to keep people guessing, yet somehow a goalless draw feels entirely accidental. Two clubs, one ball, ninety minutes, and the collective ambition of a particularly tired Tuesday.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/13 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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