(H)
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
KENDAL TOWN FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jermaine Anderson 14 2 16 Gk Leon Farrell 12 2 14
Sw Daniel Lorimar 14 2 16 Df Diego Acosta 12 0 12
Df Gonzalo Sanz 16 1 17 Df Steven Williams 10 2 12
Df Bryan Martin 6 2 8 Df Joshua Simpson 6 2 8
Mf George Armstrong 14 2 16 Mf Ben Duckworth 7 1 8
Mf Albert Wise 8 1 9 Mf Jonathan Håkansson 7 2 9
Fw Marco Beerman 10 2 12 Mf Alex Turner 6 2 8
Fw Marcelo Guzman 8 1 9 Mf Alexander Long 5 2 7
Fw Algernon James 8 1 9 Mf Jack Young 3 2 5
Fw Gregg Smith 6 2 8 Fw Luiz Correia 10 2 12
Fw André Ribeiro 6 2 8 Fw Ze'ev Bar 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 16 25 25 46 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 32 37 20
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 4 3 0
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16 16 25 25 55 T O T A L S 14 0 36 40 20
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.97 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.06 (no red card)
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.26 (no red card)
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.99 (no red card)
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.49 (no red card)
Mf George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card)
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.39 (no red card)
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.0 (no red card)
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.08 (no red card)
Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.14 (no red card)
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.54 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.58 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.63 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.32 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.76 (no second yellow)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no red card)
Mf Ben Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.64 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no red card)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.29 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.25 (no red card)
Mf Jack Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.85 (no red card)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.52 (no red card)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury)
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.04 (no injury)
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury)
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.16 (no injury)
Mf George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.77 (no injury)
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.74 (no injury)
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.61 (no injury)
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no injury)
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.2 (no injury)
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.14 (no injury)
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.92 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.5 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.73 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.36 (no injury)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.09 (no injury)
Mf Ben Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.73 (no injury)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.69 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.38 (no injury)
Mf Jack Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.6 (no injury)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.47 (no injury)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.89 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 16
- Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 12
intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Diego Acosta SL 12
- Defending Gk: Jermaine Anderson SL 14
intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Kendal Town FC 16 16 25 25 55
FC United of Manchester 14 0 36 40 20
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 10 (55 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 2; rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Bryan Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Gregg Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Algernon James
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Gregg Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 2.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 14 0 36 40 20
Kendal Town FC 16 16 25 25 55
FC United of Manchester is Playing For A Draw!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 25)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 25) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Håkansson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Jonathan Håkansson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
KENDAL TOWN FC 1 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
Match Notes
Kmart travels from Kirksville apparently planning to lose this one on purpose, which is either tactical genius or the most honest thing anyone has said in football. I find both possibilities equally exhausting.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/17 - 12:13 AM
Nope
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/21 - 1:59 PM
It never occurred to me that Kirksville managers might lose games on purpose, but it would explain a lot.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/23 - 5:17 PM
Couldn't make this up. For this to be random numbers the chances are astronomical!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/23 - 7:09 PM
It's not quite astronomically low.
It's still impressive for FCU to win a 5%er.
It's still impressive for FCU to win a 5%er.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/23 - 9:09 PM
Wow! And go figure. All the times we tried to beat Ian, and lost. This time we were hoping to keep down the goal differential, and won
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/26 - 7:04 PM
Thanks you, Olmec!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 05/26 - 7:05 PM