(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS TONBRIDGE ANGELS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17 Gk Elias Jönsson 15 2 17
Sw Kai Laidlaw 15 1 16 Sw Ismael Romero 9 2 11
Df Leonardo Greco 13 1 14 Df Steve Gordon 15 2 17
Df Baron Jackson 13 2 15 Df Ciaran Healy 13 2 15
Df Axel Lacour 13 1 14 Df Stan Thompson 9 2 11
Mf Gareth Scott 15 1 16 Mf Jordi Navarro 15 2 17
Mf Gabriel Welbeck 13 2 15 Mf Lok Lín 9 2 11
Fw Fernando Cano 14 1 15 Mf Loïc Jacob 5 2 7
Fw William Bell 13 2 15 Fw Daniel Barbosa 15 2 17
Fw Sam East 15 1 16 Fw Michael Turner 16 2 18
Fw Nick Baumann 9 2 11 Fw Hayden Marshall 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 16 43 31 57 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 43 35 46
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 1 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 3 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 16 43 31 65 T O T A L S 18 14 43 38 46
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.57 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.06 (no red card)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no second yellow)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.33 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.17 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.94 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.22 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.13 (no red card)
Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.5 (no red card)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.57 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 0.8 (no red card)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 86.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 49.14 (no red card)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no second yellow)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 91.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.91 (no red card)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.96 (no red card)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 60.31 (no red card)
Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 37.6 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 33.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.55 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 74.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.66 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 78.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.68 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.42 (no injury)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 18.09 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 24.57 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 61.73 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 62.44 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 2.79 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Fernando Cano is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 78.66 (no injury)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 69.68 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 57.71 (no injury)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 57.3 (no injury)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no injury)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.83 (no injury)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.57 (no injury)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury)
Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.95 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Gareth Scott SL 15
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 43 31 65
Tonbridge Angels 18 14 43 38 46
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 22 (65 - 43); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 18 14 43 38 46
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 43 31 65
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 3 (46 - 43); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 4 ((38 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Loïc Jacob
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
Match Notes
Fighting for promotion, but against a team fighting against relegation
~ John ~ Jul 4 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)
Andy Shaw travels down from Middlesbrough to keep it tight and win one nil. The plan is sound. The enthusiasm with which I await it is not.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 6 (Goole AFC)
Andy Shaw travels from Middlesbrough with one thing on his mind — keep the door bolted and nick it late. Rushden will need to break down a wall today.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 10 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)
We probably need to win this one as well, just can’t see it happening.
~ Andy ~ Jul 11 (Tonbridge Angels)
We had a go but fell short.
~ Andy ~ Jul 13 (Tonbridge Angels)