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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           15    2   17     Gk Christopher Clyne      15    2   17
Sw Declan Wilson          16    0   16     Sw Christian Murray        9    2   11
Df Matty Parsons          15    2   17     Df Guillaume Chauvin      14    2   16
Df Jannick Schmitz        14    0   14     Df Calum Morrison         14    2   16
Mf Kai Jones              10    2   12     Df Michael Thompson        9    2   11
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12     Mf Ethan Duckworth        14    1   15
Fw Leon Fischer           15    1   16     Mf James Thompson          5    2    7
Fw Kai Burke              14    1   15     Mf Oliver Chaffersey       5    2    7
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    2   15     Fw Jamie Hunt             15    2   17
Fw Luca König             13    1   14     Fw Juan Martin            14    1   15
Fw André Souza             9    2   11     Fw Francis Richards        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 31 24 71        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 43 29 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 40 24 71         T O T A L S       17 11 50 29 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.45 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.37 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.51 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.5 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.21 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.28 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.74 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.11 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.33 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.4 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.99 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.83 (no red card)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.7 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.82 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.71 (no red card)

Fw Juan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.34 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.04 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.18 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.16 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.87 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.06 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.84 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.84 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury) 
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.54 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.32 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.64 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.65 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.51 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.65 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Parsons SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Christopher Clyne SL 15

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Hunt SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 15

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         17  16  40  24  71
  Clevedon Town FC         17  11  50  29  39

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (71 - 50); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Matty Parsons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         17  11  50  29  39
  Ilkeston Town FC         17  16  40  24  71

Clevedon Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 40)
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Oliver Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 1  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Crazy - I looked at the live table around 15 minutes and we were 3rd and I was hoping to avoid relegation.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/20 - 7:15 PM
 
 
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