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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             15    2   17     Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18
Df Mason Shaw             14    2   16     Sw Declan Wilson          16    2   18
Df Thomas McIntyre        13    2   15     Df Liam Conner            15    2   17
Df Luca Lorimar           12    2   14     Df Shayne Porter          14    2   16
Mf Ryan White             15    2   17     Df Leo McNeill            10    2   12
Mf Lewis Coppell          14    2   16     Mf Kai Jones              11    2   13
Fw Jermaine Bennett       15    2   17     Mf Kenzie Munro            9    2   11
Fw Agustin Martínez       13    2   15     Fw André Souza            15    2   17
Fw Kai Williams           12    2   14     Fw Kai Burke              15    2   17
Fw Raphaël Soulie         10    2   12     Fw Leon Fischer           13    2   15
Fw Sean Moore             10    2   12     Fw Cole Hamilton           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 45 33 70        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 45 24 60    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 54 33 70         T O T A L S       21 21 45 24 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 54.0 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.54 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.49 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.39 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.86 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.39 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.41 (no red card)

Fw Kai Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.62 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.88 (no second yellow)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.68 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.55 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.07 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.56 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.07 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.55 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.46 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.66 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.31 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.96 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.7 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 61.98 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.89 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.4 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.28 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.96 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.31 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.01 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.57 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.1 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.73 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.39 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Shayne Porter is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shayne Porter new match skill level =  7
      Shayne Porter new match total level =  9
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.99 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.19 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.78 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.07 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan White SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Conner SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  54  33  70
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  21  38  24  60

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 32 (70 - 38); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 14.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 38.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  21  38  24  60
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  54  33  70

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (60 - 54); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Damn
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/08 - 8:07 PM
 
 
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