(H)
Boston United
Rob Peterson
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BOSTON UNITED AFC WIMBLEDON
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Reece Wilkinson 15 2 17 Gk Guillaume Hebert 16 2 18
Sw Jannick Neumann 15 2 17 Df Jamie Aikenhead 13 2 15
Df Martin Durham 15 2 17 Df Ryan Barber 16 2 18
Df Taylor Alexander 13 2 15 Df Jed Dury 10 2 12
Df Graham Pike 11 2 13 Df Oscar Evans 10 2 12
Mf Javier Diaz 14 2 16 Df Elias Schneider 9 2 11
Mf David King 13 2 15 Mf Kenny Fitzgerald 15 2 17
Fw Logan Edwards 15 2 17 Mf Callum Blake 9 2 11
Fw Kenny Stretch 15 1 16 Mf Terry Thwaite 4 2 6
Fw Tyler Davis 13 1 14 Fw Ben Butcher 17 2 19
Fw Giorgio Sanna 16 -1 15 Mf Brian Sanchez 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 17 45 31 62 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 68 43 19
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 2 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 19 45 31 71 T O T A L S 21 0 68 43 19
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.96 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.97 (no red card)
Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.76 (no red card)
Df Martin Durham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.06 (no red card)
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.37 (no red card)
Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.32 (no red card)
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.7 (no red card)
Mf David King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.86 (no red card)
Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.3 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.11 (no second yellow)
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.44 (no red card)
Fw Tyler Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.24 (no red card)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 59.39 (no red card)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.51 (no red card)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.25 (no red card)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.68 (no red card)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.38 (no red card)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.42 (no red card)
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.32 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.47 (no second yellow)
Mf Terry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.97 (no red card)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.21 (no red card)
Mf Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury)
Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.44 (no injury)
Df Martin Durham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.18 (no injury)
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury)
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.5 (no injury)
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.49 (no injury)
Mf David King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury)
Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.28 (no injury)
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.17 (no injury)
Fw Tyler Davis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.76 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.15 (no injury)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.0 (no injury)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.6 (no injury)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.97 (no injury)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.77 (no injury)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no injury)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.89 (no injury)
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.58 (no injury)
Mf Terry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.34 (no injury)
Mf Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.51 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Giorgio Sanna SL 16
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ben Butcher SL 17
- Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 15
intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Boston United 20 19 45 31 71
AFC Wimbledon 21 0 68 43 19
AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Boston United Fw Attacks = 2 (71 - 68) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 43) / 2; rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 9 ((45 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Taylor Alexander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Taylor Alexander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 82.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Graham Pike
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Taylor Alexander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 10.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Martin Durham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Graham Pike
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Graham Pike
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Df Taylor Alexander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Df Graham Pike
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Tyler Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 21 0 68 43 19
Boston United 20 19 45 31 71
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 45)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 6 ((43 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((68 - 71) / 5; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Kenny Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Callum Blake
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Terry Thwaite
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Callum Blake
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BOSTON UNITED 1 - AFC WIMBLEDON 0
Match Notes
WOW... such disrespect from the predictions... 2-1 loss?!
~ Rob ~ Jul 11 (Boston United)
Nothing to see here from WIM…somehow we have lost 9 of the last 14
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (AFC Wimbledon)
Hey…another PK playing 1 hard
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (AFC Wimbledon)
4 for the season
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (AFC Wimbledon)
Wow…..and clinches the title…..seems Olmec screwed a few teams with this one
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (AFC Wimbledon)
congrats on a well deserved title win!
~ Vick ~ Jul 11 (Halifax Town AFC)
Boston grind out a one-nil and somewhere a spreadsheet updates. The universe remains indifferent, which at least puts it in good company with AFC Wimbledon's attack today.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 11 (Goole AFC)
Congratulations Rob!
~ Jason ~ Jul 11 (Kingstonian FC)
Well done Rob!
~ Roger ~ Jul 11 (Chasetown FC)
Congratulations Rob! 🏆🏆
~ Allan ~ Jul 12 (Harrogate Railway AFC)
Congrats Rob on your and BOS' 1st championship!
~ Eduard ~ Jul 12 (Welling United FC)
It might have been rather unlikely and unexpectable, but it's a game of chance anyway. Nuff said (for this season).
~ Eduard ~ Jul 12 (Welling United FC)
Congrats Rob. Just about done enough to win and top the charts.
~ Andy ~ Jul 13 (Tonbridge Angels)
Go Rob! You earned the chance with the draw with Alon earlier, and you’re welcome for beating him in the final match so he didn’t get the three points to top you!
~ Kevin ~ Jul 14 (FC United of Manchester)
WOW! What a Cinderella story! 4 points in the final session and they were all huge!
~ Rob ~ Jul 18 (Boston United)
Thanks for the assist Kevin! We won't forget it!
~ Rob ~ Jul 18 (Boston United)
This marks the FIRST league title for Boston!
~ Rob ~ Jul 18 (Boston United)