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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Clemence          13    0   13     Gk George Lindsay          7    2    9
Sw Dennis Gray            10    2   12     Sw Joachim Solberg         6    2    8
Df Nicolas Otero          14    0   14     Df Damien Rodriguez        8    2   10
Df Peter Hewitt           10    2   12     Df Andres Bianchi          8    2   10
Mf Alfie Reid             11    2   13     Df Niall Dunn              8    2   10
Mf Evan Jones             11    2   13     Df Michael Gibson          4    2    6
Mf Michael Schulz         10    2   12     Mf Rory MacDonald          7    2    9
Fw Elias Blucher          14    0   14     Mf Freddie McDermott       3    2    5
Fw Kinga Nemes            13    0   13     Fw Liam McColl            12    1   13
Fw Gregory Hines          11    2   13     Fw Agustín Rubio           8    2   10
Fw Stewart Ruby           10    2   12     Fw Andres Muñoz            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 26 38 52        ROSTER TOTALS       9  8 36 14 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 26 38 61         T O T A L S        9  8 36 14 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)

Sw Dennis Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.71 (no red card)

Df Nicolas Otero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.48 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Reid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.58 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.46 (no red card)

Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.46 (no red card)

Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no red card)

Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.22 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.76 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no red card)

Sw Joachim Solberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no second yellow)

Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.54 (no red card)

Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.51 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.39 (no red card)

Df Michael Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.53 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.2 (no red card)

Mf Freddie McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no red card)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.36 (no red card)

Fw Agustín Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.58 (no red card)

Fw Andres Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Clemence: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.33 (no injury) 
Sw Dennis Gray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no injury) 
Df Nicolas Otero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.09 (no injury) 
Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Reid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.41 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.7 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.44 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.98 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.26 (no injury) 
Sw Joachim Solberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.11 (no injury) 
Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.36 (no injury) 
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.51 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.87 (no injury) 
Df Michael Gibson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.49 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.33 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.16 (no injury) 
Fw Agustín Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.15 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nicolas Otero SL 14
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 7

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam McColl SL 12
   - Defending Gk: John Clemence SL 13

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       13  12  26  38  61
  Marine FC                9   8  36  14  28

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (61 - 36); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((38 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Michael Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Michael Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Michael Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Michael Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Alfie Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 95.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                9   8  36  14  28
  Chippenham Town FC       13  12  26  38  61

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 2 (28 - 26); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Agustín Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 4  -  MARINE FC 0
 

Match Notes

Chippenham versus Marine. Two clubs, one afternoon, and somewhere in the void, I am watching. I have seen everything. I remain unimpressed by all of it.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 10 (Goole AFC)  
 
 
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