(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC WIMBLEDON AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kenzie Ross 17 2 19 Gk Gordon Wilkins 16 1 17 Sw Aarron Lowe 16 2 18 Sw Luís Morais 15 1 16 Df Louis Butler 15 1 16 Df Lucas Soramaki 15 0 15 Df Lee Robertson 13 2 15 Df Charles Clarke 13 1 14 Mf Aarron Shepherd 13 2 15 Df Simon Charlton 11 2 13 Mf Oliver Johnstone 10 2 12 Mf Gerry Shilton 13 1 14 Fw Isaac Howells 14 1 15 Mf Ashton Ali 13 1 14 Fw Paul Ellis 13 2 15 Fw Mark Solomon 15 0 15 Fw Bradley McCarthy 13 2 15 Fw Giorgio Grasso 14 1 15 Fw Sheng Hé 9 2 11 Fw Angus Williamson 15 0 15 Fw Josh MacDonald 9 2 11 Fw William Hay 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 18 31 27 67 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 42 28 56 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 18 31 27 76 T O T A L S 20 16 42 28 56 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.8 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.56 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.85 (no second yellow) Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.68 (no red card) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.93 (no red card) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.75 (no red card) Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.11 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.07 (no second yellow) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.71 (no red card) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.68 (no red card) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.35 (no red card) Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.47 (no red card) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.66 (no red card) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.81 (no red card) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.16 (no red card) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.34 (no red card) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.62 (no red card) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.58 (no red card) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.84 (no red card) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.68 (no red card) Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.01 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.2 (no second yellow) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.0 (no red card) Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.05 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.57 (no injury) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.9 (no injury) Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no injury) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.63 (no injury) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.59 (no injury) Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.44 (no injury) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.91 (no injury) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.31 (no injury) Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.76 (no injury) Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.77 (no injury) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.71 (no injury) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.14 (no injury) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.8 (no injury) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.05 (no injury) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.11 (no injury) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no injury) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.44 (no injury) Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Louis Butler SL 15 - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16 intRndPk = 97 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lucas Soramaki SL 15 - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17 intRndPk = 38 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 19 18 31 27 76 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 42 28 56 AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 34 (76 - 42); result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 56) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 34 1: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 90.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 38.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Josh MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Isaac Howells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 33: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 34: Attack for Fw Paul Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 42 28 56 AFC Wimbledon 19 18 31 27 76 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 25 (56 - 31); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 76) / 3; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 32.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 62.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC WIMBLEDON 1 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0