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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes           9    2   11     Gk Niklas Kaiser          15    0   15
Sw Jamie Johnson          13    2   15     Sw David Gardner          13    2   15
Df Robin Ostrander        18   -2   16     Df Diego Lombardo          7    2    9
Df Sebastian Shrimpton    13    1   14     Df Jake Whyte             15    2   17
Df Thomás Lebre            9    2   11     Df Carlos Rodriguez       15    0   15
Mf Jonathan Heddle        14   -2   12     Df Arthur East             5    2    7
Mf Victor Shepard          9   -2    7     Mf Finley Harris          14    2   16
Mf Ivan Blanco             9    2   11     Mf Alf Jenssen             9    2   11
Fw William Johnson        14    1   15     Mf Gerry Ruddle           13    2   15
Fw Jamie Carroll          13    1   14     Mf Scott Shaw             14    1   15
Fw Nathan Phillips         9    1   10     Fw Albert Ramos            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 41 30 39        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 48 57 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 15 41 30 57         T O T A L S       15 15 48 57 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.43 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.98 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.88 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.02 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.02 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.13 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.93 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.85 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.47 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.21 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.97 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)

Df Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.42 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.09 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.29 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.08 (no red card)

Mf Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.85 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.33 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.38 (no red card)

Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.86 (no red card)

Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.87 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.65 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.95 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.47 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.99 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.19 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.97 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.12 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no injury) 
Df Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.3 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.92 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.16 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.56 (no injury) 
Mf Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.84 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.78 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.45 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 15

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jake Whyte SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 9

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 27 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            11  15  41  30  57
  Chasetown FC             15  15  48  57  19

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (57 - 48); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 57) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 8 ((41 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 49.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 89.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             15  15  48  57  19
  Luton Town FC            11  15  41  30  57

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 41)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((57 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 69.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 82.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 3  -  CHASETOWN FC 4
 
Match Notes
Badly need to win this one....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/27 - 4:32 PM
Lucky to win this one, but happy...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/01 - 7:16 PM
 
 
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