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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Chasetown FC
Roger Mendonça
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18     Gk Daniel Bell            16    2   18
Sw Declan MacLellan       13    2   15     Sw Diego Lombardo         11    2   13
Df Leo McNeill            13    2   15     Df Lewis Allan            15    2   17
Df Callum Henderson       11    2   13     Df Arthur East            14    2   16
Df Hector  Araya           9    2   11     Mf Luciano Renteria       15    2   17
Df Christopher Cox         5    2    7     Mf Nathan Barnes          13    2   15
Df Roger Thomas            5    2    7     Fw Morgan Lindsay         15    2   17
Mf Cliff Cooper           10    2   12     Fw Arthur Lampton         14    2   16
Mf Florian Smets           5    1    6     Fw Jamie Newton           12    2   14
Fw Harvey Barrett          9    2   11     Fw Albert Ramos           11    2   13
Fw Marty Compton           5    2    7     Fw Gerry Ruddle           13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 53 18 18        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 33 32 75    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  2  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  2  5  0  0    
       0  3  3  1  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 63 21 18         T O T A L S       21 16 38 32 75    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.15 (no red card)

Sw Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.98 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.26 (no red card)

Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.39 (no red card)

Df Hector  Araya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.25 (no red card)

Df Christopher Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card)

Df Roger Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.71 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.13 (no red card)

Mf Florian Smets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.23 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.47 (no red card)

Fw Marty Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.7 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.69 (no red card)

Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.68 (no red card)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.83 (no red card)

Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Barnes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.57 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.8 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Newton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.49 (no red card)

Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.61 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 79.35 (no injury) 
Sw Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.21 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.86 (no injury) 
Df Hector  Araya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.11 (no injury) 
Df Roger Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.46 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.16 (no injury) 
Mf Florian Smets: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.83 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.44 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Compton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Marty Compton is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marty Compton new match skill level =  3
      Marty Compton new match total level =  5

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 13.51 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.38 (no injury) 
Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.22 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.06 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.15 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Newton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.67 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leo McNeill SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lewis Allan SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  18  63  21  16
  Chasetown FC             21  16  38  32  75

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 38)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             21  16  38  32  75
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  18  63  21  16

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 12 (75 - 63); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 8 ((38 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Arthur East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Lewis Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Arthur East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Lewis Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Arthur East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Arthur East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Lewis Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Lewis Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Nathan Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Nathan Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jamie Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Arthur Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Morgan Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Arthur Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Arthur Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 0  -  CHASETOWN FC 5
 

Match Notes

Olmec Steve versus Obi-Wan, the man who wins everyone's hearts and almost nobody's matches. A rivalry built on mutual respect and, apparently, a shared indifference to collecting wins.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jun 27 (Goole AFC)  
I’ve bit been looking forward to this match
~ Roger ~ Jun 27 (Chasetown FC)  
Best of luck Steve
~ Roger ~ Jun 27 (Chasetown FC)  
*not been
~ Roger ~ Jun 27 (Chasetown FC)  
I hate typos
~ Roger ~ Jun 27 (Chasetown FC)  
Although they are useful for the media bonus
~ Roger ~ Jun 27 (Chasetown FC)  
Marvin got the "mutual respect" right at least. A win here would make the last weekend interesting but I have to coach youth and try and secure promotion.
~ Steve ~ Jun 28 (Ilkeston Town FC)  
Good luck to you too, Roger, but I think you have this.
~ Steve ~ Jun 28 (Ilkeston Town FC)  
I didn’t think you meant it Steve!
~ Roger ~ Jul 4 (Chasetown FC)  
The playing youth part - nit the mutual respect bit
~ Roger ~ Jul 4 (Chasetown FC)  
Oh and don’t look at my result against Evesham - Olmec has done you again
~ Roger ~ Jul 4 (Chasetown FC)  
Five nil. Roger needed that more than most of us need anything. I have calculated the meaning of this result and found approximately none, but at least Olmec Steve can stare into the void with company now.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 4 (Goole AFC)  
 
 
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