(H)
Burton Albion FC
James White
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BURTON ALBION FC KINGSTONIAN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Wim Cryuff 16 2 18 Gk Archie Brakspear 15 2 17
Sw Harrison Johnson 16 2 18 Df William Munro 14 2 16
Df Linus Sjögren 13 2 15 Df Michio Mori 13 0 13
Df Shay Carr 13 2 15 Df Cathal O'Brien 10 0 10
Mf Wayne Hunt 13 2 15 Df Jack Brennan 10 1 11
Mf Sofiane Fernandez 13 2 15 Df Shaun Gibson 9 2 11
Fw Oliver Bauer 13 2 15 Df Liam Cox 17 1 18
Fw Ben Frings 13 2 15 Mf Ryan Welbeck 13 2 15
Fw Carsten Petersen 15 2 17 Mf Danny Monkhouse 13 2 15
Fw Noah Monkhouse 11 2 13 Fw Antonio Leon 14 1 15
Fw Erik Nygård 11 1 12 Fw Jay Palmer 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 30 30 72 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 79 30 31
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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18 18 30 30 81 T O T A L S 17 0 79 30 31
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.25 (no red card)
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.92 (no red card)
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.61 (no red card)
Df Shay Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no red card)
Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card)
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.33 (no red card)
Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.6 (no red card)
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.25 (no red card)
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.71 (no red card)
Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.57 (no red card)
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.2 (no red card)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.88 (no red card)
Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.37 (no red card)
Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.39 (no red card)
Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.6 (no red card)
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.99 (no red card)
Df Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.35 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.68 (no red card)
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.92 (no red card)
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.39 (no red card)
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.75 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.74 (no injury)
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury)
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.45 (no injury)
Df Shay Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no injury)
Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.53 (no injury)
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no injury)
Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury)
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no injury)
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.92 (no injury)
Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury)
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Erik Nygård is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Erik Nygård new match skill level = 6
Erik Nygård new match total level = 7
******* KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.25 (no injury)
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.34 (no injury)
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.24 (no injury)
Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no injury)
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury)
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.68 (no injury)
Df Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.46 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.45 (no injury)
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.45 (no injury)
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.37 (no injury)
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.2 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Carsten Petersen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15
intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 17
- Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16
intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Burton Albion FC 18 18 30 30 76
Kingstonian FC 17 0 79 30 31
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (76 - 79)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 31) / 3; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0
******* KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Kingstonian FC 17 0 79 30 31
Burton Albion FC 18 18 30 30 76
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 1 (31 - 30); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 1 ((79 - 76) / 5); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Michio Mori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
BURTON ALBION FC 0 - KINGSTONIAN FC 0
Match Notes
Not getting much love in the predictions, for good reason.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/22 - 4:51 PM