(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC WIMBLEDON HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kenzie Ross 17 2 19 Gk Florian De Vos 15 2 17 Sw Aarron Lowe 16 2 18 Sw Fortunato Torres 13 2 15 Df Riley O'Brien 11 2 13 Df Aidan O'Neil 14 2 16 Df Lee Robertson 13 2 15 Df Benjamin Newton 13 2 15 Mf Oliver Johnstone 10 2 12 Df Ben Lawrence 12 2 14 Mf Henning Pedersen 8 2 10 Df Andreas Solheim 10 0 10 Fw Marty Allen 13 2 15 Df Trevor Harewood 8 2 10 Fw Paul Ellis 13 2 15 Mf Juan Jose Carmona 13 0 13 Fw Isaac Howells 11 1 12 Mf Lewis Smith 10 1 11 Fw Josh MacDonald 9 2 11 Fw Braulio Salas 13 2 15 Fw Sheng Hé 8 2 10 Fw Cooper Smith 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 18 28 22 63 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 65 24 28 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 18 28 24 70 T O T A L S 17 18 69 24 28 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.41 (no red card) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.25 (no red card) Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 100.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.37 (no red card) Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.1 (no red card) Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.42 (no red card) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.97 (no red card) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.09 (no red card) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card) Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.64 (no red card) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.55 (no red card) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.26 (no red card) Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.04 (no red card) Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.02 (no red card) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.9 (no red card) Df Andreas Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.33 (no red card) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.79 (no red card) Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.17 (no red card) Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.77 (no red card) Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.65 (no red card) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.23 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.22 (no injury) Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.72 (no injury) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.3 (no injury) Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.22 (no injury) Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.26 (no injury) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.88 (no injury) Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no injury) Fw Josh MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.15 (no injury) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 89.51 (no injury) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.39 (no injury) Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.49 (no injury) Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.22 (no injury) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) Df Andreas Solheim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.04 (no injury) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.82 (no injury) Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.29 (no injury) Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.49 (no injury) Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.58 (no injury) Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.97 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lee Robertson SL 13 - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15 intRndPk = 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14 - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 20 18 28 24 70 Harrogate Railway AFC 17 18 69 24 28 AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 1 (70 - 69); result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Fw Sheng Hé Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Harrogate Railway AFC 17 18 69 24 28 AFC Wimbledon 20 18 28 24 70 Harrogate Railway AFC is Playing For A Draw! Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 28) Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((69 - 70) / 3; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC WIMBLEDON 0 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
Without our captain today we will need to dig deep to find victory
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/27 - 10:07 PM
We are 2 goal underdogs at home to this Beaver squad.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/27 - 10:07 PM
Anticipating the normal level of goonish and unsportsmanlike play from a Dave Dohm team today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/28 - 8:50 PM
Well played Al
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/29 - 8:58 PM
Phew. Lucky to get the numbers right and still thought that 1 chance might go in. Thanks DD.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/29 - 10:58 PM