(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 16 2 18 Gk Ryan Caron 12 2 14
Sw Jamie Johnson 13 0 13 Sw Danny Butcher 12 2 14
Df Philipp Koch 12 1 13 Df Daniel Baldwin 11 2 13
Df Reis Golan 12 2 14 Df Cliff Trickelbank 10 2 12
Df Sebastian Shrimpton 10 2 12 Df Jared Lampton 8 2 10
Mf Victor Shepard 14 -1 13 Mf Ryan Ludley 12 2 14
Mf Nathan Dean 12 1 13 Mf Lucas Phillips 11 2 13
Mf David Perry 12 2 14 Mf Ryan White 10 2 12
Fw Nathan Phillips 16 1 17 Mf Rodrigo Fernández 8 2 10
Fw Facundo Bruno 12 1 13 Fw Leo O'Donnell 8 2 10
Fw Jamie Carroll 11 2 13 Fw Tyler MacDonald 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 13 39 40 43 ROSTER TOTALS 14 14 35 49 20
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 13 39 40 52 T O T A L S 15 15 35 49 20
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.37 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.75 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.76 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.07 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.63 (no second yellow)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.38 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.32 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.23 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.91 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.27 (no red card)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 30.96 (no red card)
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.29 (no red card)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.0 (no red card)
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.69 (no red card)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.83 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.14 (no red card)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.84 (no second yellow)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.88 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.55 (no second yellow)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.65 (no red card)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.32 (no red card)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 88.81 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.83 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.23 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.25 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.26 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Victor Shepard is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Victor Shepard new match skill level = 7
Victor Shepard new match total level = 6
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.26 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.29 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.44 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Nathan Phillips is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.48 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.97 (no injury)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no injury)
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.98 (no injury)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.36 (no injury)
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.51 (no injury)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.31 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.37 (no injury)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.14 (no injury)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.98 (no injury)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.43 (no injury)
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.04 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryan Ludley SL 12
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16
intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 18 13 39 33 52
Swindon Supermarine FC 15 15 35 49 20
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 49) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 7 ((39 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 15 15 35 49 20
Luton Town FC 18 13 39 33 52
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 39)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((49 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 0 - SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0
Match Notes
Not the best of luck for us here. Well done, John.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/15 - 9:44 PM