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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Gareth Green           16    2   18
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18     Sw Harry Stewart          16    2   18
Df Louie Ince             15    2   17     Df Lucas Hill             14    2   16
Df Luca Herrmann          14    1   15     Df Hernan Torres          10    2   12
Df Jake McDonald          14    1   15     Mf Roger Flinders         14    2   16
Mf Leon Baumann           17    2   19     Mf Pedro Gomes            10    2   12
Mf Thomas Williams        14    0   14     Fw Joe Walsh              13    2   15
Fw Eoghan Carroll         15    2   17     Fw Kyle Bate              13    2   15
Fw Greg Scott             14    2   16     Fw Jermaine Rogers        10    2   12
Fw Ashley Reynolds         9    2   11     Fw Aaron Quinn            10    2   12
Fw Nils Pettersson         8    2   10     Fw Ryan McDonald           9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 47 33 54        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 28 28 64    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 47 33 63         T O T A L S       21 21 28 28 64    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.33 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.54 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.49 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.62 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.42 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.21 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.82 (no second yellow)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.22 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.33 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.69 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.7 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)

Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.81 (no second yellow)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.85 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.3 (no red card)

Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.96 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.87 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)

Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.65 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.47 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.37 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.24 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.52 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.8 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.15 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.45 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Roger Flinders is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Roger Flinders new match skill level =  7
      Roger Flinders new match total level =  9
Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.93 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.5 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.47 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Ryan McDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ryan McDonald new match skill level =  5
      Ryan McDonald new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lucas Hill SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        21  18  47  33  63
  Kendal Town FC           21  21  28  21  60

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 35 (63 - 28); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((33 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 41

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 78.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 90.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           21  21  28  21  60
  Welling United FC        21  18  47  33  63

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (60 - 47); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 47.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 3
 
Match Notes
Massive title implications here
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/22 - 12:52 PM
Most likely the division champ is determined here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/22 - 3:38 PM
 
 
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