(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WELLING UNITED FC KENDAL TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Euan Fleming 16 2 18 Gk Gareth Green 16 2 18 Sw Douglas Pereira 16 2 18 Sw Harry Stewart 16 2 18 Df Louie Ince 15 2 17 Df Lucas Hill 14 2 16 Df Luca Herrmann 14 1 15 Df Hernan Torres 10 2 12 Df Jake McDonald 14 1 15 Mf Roger Flinders 14 2 16 Mf Leon Baumann 17 2 19 Mf Pedro Gomes 10 2 12 Mf Thomas Williams 14 0 14 Fw Joe Walsh 13 2 15 Fw Eoghan Carroll 15 2 17 Fw Kyle Bate 13 2 15 Fw Greg Scott 14 2 16 Fw Jermaine Rogers 10 2 12 Fw Ashley Reynolds 9 2 11 Fw Aaron Quinn 10 2 12 Fw Nils Pettersson 8 2 10 Fw Ryan McDonald 9 1 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 47 33 54 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 28 28 64 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 18 47 33 63 T O T A L S 21 21 28 28 64 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.33 (no red card) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.54 (no red card) Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.49 (no red card) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.62 (no red card) Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.42 (no red card) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.21 (no red card) Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.39 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.82 (no second yellow) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.22 (no red card) Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.33 (no red card) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.69 (no red card) ******* KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card) Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.7 (no red card) Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card) Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.81 (no second yellow) Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.85 (no red card) Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.3 (no red card) Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.96 (no red card) Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card) Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.87 (no red card) Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card) Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.6 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.65 (no injury) Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.47 (no injury) Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.37 (no injury) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no injury) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no injury) Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.24 (no injury) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no injury) Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.52 (no injury) ******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.8 (no injury) Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.15 (no injury) Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury) Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.45 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Roger Flinders is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Roger Flinders new match skill level = 7 Roger Flinders new match total level = 9 Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury) Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.93 (no injury) Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.5 (no injury) Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no injury) Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.47 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Ryan McDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ryan McDonald new match skill level = 5 Ryan McDonald new match total level = 6 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 17 - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16 intRndPk = 20 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lucas Hill SL 14 - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16 intRndPk = 32 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 21 18 47 33 63 Kendal Town FC 21 21 28 21 60 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 35 (63 - 28); result rounded up Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((33 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Welling United FC Total Attacks = 41 1: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 78.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 90.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 36: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) ******* KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Kendal Town FC 21 21 28 21 60 Welling United FC 21 18 47 33 63 Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 13 (60 - 47); result rounded up Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 33) / 2; rounded up) Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 63) / 3; rounded up) Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 13 1: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Joe Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 47.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WELLING UNITED FC 1 - KENDAL TOWN FC 3
Match Notes
Massive title implications here
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/22 - 12:52 PM
Most likely the division champ is determined here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/22 - 3:38 PM