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Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DROYLSDEN FC                               HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bobby Kaur             14    2   16     Gk Erik Holm              14    2   16
Sw Melker Fransson        13    2   15     Sw Shane Sweeney          12    2   14
Df Kristoffer Myklebust   13    0   13     Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15
Df Bailey Williamson       7    2    9     Df Fernando Silva         16    2   18
Mf Young Jae  Cho         12    2   14     Df Nathan Meldrum          7    2    9
Df Don Lindsay             8    2   10     Mf Ross Browne             7    2    9
Mf Finlay Pearson          7    2    9     Mf Nuno Eiras              3    2    5
Fw João Alves             13   -1   12     Fw Justin Neumann         13    2   15
Fw João Pinto             15    1   16     Fw Ian Hunter             12    2   14
Fw Glen Ali                9    1   10     Fw John MacDonald         11    2   13
Fw Archie Ferdinand        7    2    9     Fw Lee Collins             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 32 23 47        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 42 14 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  3  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 32 26 53         T O T A L S       16 14 42 17 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.82 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.97 (no red card)

Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no red card)

Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.25 (no red card)

Df Don Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no red card)

Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)

Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.91 (no red card)

Fw João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.0 (no second yellow)

Fw Glen Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.48 (no red card)

Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.18 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.09 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 87.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.66 (no red card)

Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.79 (no second yellow)

Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no red card)

Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.2 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.32 (no second yellow)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 89.93 (no second yellow)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.34 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 52.08 (no injury) 
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.73 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 78.56 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury) 
Df Don Lindsay: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no injury) 
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.71 (no injury) 
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no injury) 
Fw João Pinto: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.4 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Ali: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 3.94 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Archie Ferdinand is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Archie Ferdinand new match skill level =  4
      Archie Ferdinand new match total level =  6

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 55.23 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.82 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.26 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.35 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.79 (no injury) 
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.81 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.41 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.99 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: João Pinto SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Bobby Kaur SL 14

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             16  15  32  26  50
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16  14  42  17  51

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 8 (50 - 42); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((26 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Finlay Pearson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Glen Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Archie Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16  14  42  17  51
  Droylsden FC             16  15  32  26  50

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (51 - 32); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DROYLSDEN FC 2  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Droylsden on home turf, The Commish rolling into enemy territory. Sellers better have his troops fired up because this ground won't show mercy today.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/01 - 7:30 PM  
Nothing went right today against a tough Droylsden side. Well played Mr. G!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/06 - 8:17 PM  
Cheers. A welcome win, but yet another injury. They're queuing up to get into the Treatment Room at the moment.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 06/07 - 1:36 AM  
 
 
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