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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           14    0   14     Gk Ramon Garcia           13    2   15
Sw Jason Meyer            15    0   15     Sw Leonardo  Torres       11    1   12
Df Robin Ostrander        11    2   13     Df Jesse Williams         14    2   16
Df Harvey Marshall        10    2   12     Df Kyle Low                7    2    9
Df Kenny White             7    2    9     Df Pedro Almeida           3    2    5
Mf Ethan Peters            8    2   10     Mf Paul Thompson          14    2   16
Mf Luke Dunn               8    2   10     Mf Francisco Alvarez      12    2   14
Mf Jonathan Heddle         7    2    9     Mf Eirik Paulsen           7    2    9
Fw Nils Schneider         12    2   14     Fw Takeo Nakamura         12    2   14
Fw Facundo Bruno           7    2    9     Fw Arthur Knight          15    1   16
Fw Jamie Carroll           7    2    9     Fw Billy Arnold            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 34 29 32        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 30 39 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 34 32 38         T O T A L S       15 12 30 39 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.32 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.03 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.54 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.64 (no red card)

Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.73 (no second yellow)

Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.71 (no red card)

Mf Luke Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.15 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.2 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.68 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.22 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.8 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.27 (no red card)

Sw Leonardo  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.72 (no red card)

Df Jesse Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.31 (no red card)

Df Kyle Low: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.05 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.37 (no red card)

Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.28 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.27 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.61 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.81 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.05 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.98 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.85 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.58 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.03 (no injury) 
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.89 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.3 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.57 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.93 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.45 (no injury) 
Sw Leonardo  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.98 (no injury) 
Df Jesse Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.17 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Low: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.91 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.64 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.91 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.94 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.69 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nils Schneider SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 13

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arthur Knight SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  15  34  32  38
  Hyde FC                  15  12  30  39  39

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (38 - 30); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  15  12  30  39  39
  Luton Town FC            14  15  34  32  38

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 5 (39 - 34); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((39 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 1  -  HYDE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Have to go a long way back for a win away to Luton
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/09 - 9:41 AM
Still waiting for that win but happy with that fair point each
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/16 - 8:26 AM
 
 
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