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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mateo Romano           13    0   13     Gk Morgan James           16    2   18
Sw Paul MacKenzie         10    0   10     Sw Noah Smalls            13    2   15
Df William Cockham        11    0   11     Df Kåre  Sivertsen        11    2   13
Df Gilberto Medina        10    0   10     Df Andy Davis             10    2   12
Df Hans Hahn               9    2   11     Df Florian König           7    2    9
Mf Coll Wilson            14    0   14     Fw Damien Monin           11    0   11
Mf Algenon White          10    0   10     Mf Baron Palmer            7   -2    5
Mf Callum Davies          10    0   10     Mf Santiago Rojas          7   -1    6
Fw Nico Fuchs             11    0   11     Fw Billy Moore            16    0   16
Fw Rob Ramsey             11    0   11     Fw Sebastian Colombo      12    2   14
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz      11    0   11     Fw Jacob Coppell           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 32 34 33        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 34 11 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  6  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 35 37 36         T O T A L S       18 15 34 17 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.13 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.47 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.79 (no red card)

Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.44 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.36 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.77 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.26 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.03 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.62 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.27 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.86 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.47 (no red card)

Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.95 (no red card)

Df Andy Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.39 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.46 (no red card)

Fw Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.58 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.51 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.15 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.21 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.68 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.71 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.29 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.03 (no injury) 
Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.64 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.94 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.16 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.21 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.55 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.99 (no injury) 
Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.23 (no injury) 
Df Andy Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.61 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.83 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.32 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.42 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Coll Wilson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 16

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 13

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              13  10  35  37  36
  Boston United            18  15  34  17  50

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 2 (36 - 34); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((37 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            18  15  34  17  50
  Mossley AFC              13  10  35  37  36

Boston United Fw Attacks = 15 (50 - 35); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 1  -  BOSTON UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Head to head against my old pal Rob in 2nd division!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 06/15 - 11:55 AM
There haven't been too many meetings between Boston and Mossley, but I like the "10 game winless streak" by Mossley. We'll have to keep that going.
Rob (Boston United) 06/15 - 3:44 PM
Okay. Technically the streak continues.
Rob (Boston United) 06/17 - 4:26 PM
Not gonna lie, I was disappointed with the draw. Happy for the point but was hoping for 3
Mike (Mossley AFC) 06/19 - 1:23 PM
 
 
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