(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC WELLING UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Florian De Vos 14 2 16 Gk Euan Fleming 16 2 18
Sw Fortunato Torres 13 2 15 Df Louie Ince 14 2 16
Df Aidan O'Neil 14 2 16 Df Jake McDonald 14 1 15
Df Ben Lawrence 10 2 12 Df Ben Neuville 8 2 10
Df Trevor Harewood 7 2 9 Df Amine Monteil 7 2 9
Mf Juan Jose Carmona 13 0 13 Df Ellis Cleverley 3 2 5
Mf Luis Schmidt 10 0 10 Mf Leon Baumann 17 2 19
Mf Benjamin Healy 3 2 5 Mf Eoghan Carroll 17 2 19
Fw Braulio Salas 13 2 15 Mf Nicholas Clark 8 2 10
Fw Hans Fischer 14 2 16 Fw Samuel Rose 7 2 9
Fw William Torres 7 2 9 Fw Nils Pettersson 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 15 37 28 40 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 55 48 18
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 15 37 28 49 T O T A L S 18 0 55 48 18
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============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.15 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.38 (no red card)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.88 (no red card)
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.1 (no red card)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.8 (no red card)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.98 (no red card)
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.53 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no red card)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.44 (no red card)
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.38 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.38 (no red card)
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.42 (no red card)
Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.96 (no red card)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.85 (no red card)
Df Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.11 (no red card)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.92 (no red card)
Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.45 (no red card)
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.23 (no red card)
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.37 (no red card)
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.57 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.84 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.51 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.09 (no injury)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.5 (no injury)
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no injury)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.3 (no injury)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.89 (no injury)
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.47 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.54 (no injury)
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.82 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no injury)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.7 (no injury)
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.9 (no injury)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.9 (no injury)
Df Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.93 (no injury)
Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.4 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Ellis Cleverley is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ellis Cleverley new match skill level = 2
Ellis Cleverley new match total level = 4
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.81 (no injury)
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury)
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.02 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.53 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14
- Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16
intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 17
- Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 14
intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 16 15 37 28 49
Welling United FC 18 0 54 48 18
Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (49 - 54)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 48) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 7 ((37 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 18 0 54 48 18
Harrogate Railway AFC 16 15 37 28 49
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 37)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((48 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((54 - 49) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 1
Match Notes
I don't know much about OLMEC, but I hear OLMEC hates beavers.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/14 - 6:03 AM
I believe the Beavers are four goal underdogs here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/15 - 12:27 AM
I would go with 6 goal underdogs against Mr. Habermann and Mighty Welling!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/15 - 2:00 PM
As expected, but kept it close. Well done Eduard.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/15 - 8:38 PM