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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:20 AM (gmt)
 
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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18     Gk Thiago Alves            7    0    7
Sw Callum Henderson        9    2   11     Df Afonso Gomes            8   -1    7
Df Liam Conner            10    2   12     Df Andy Simpson            8    0    8
Df Declan MacLellan        7    2    9     Df Niall Dunn              7    0    7
Mf Cliff Cooper           10    2   12     Df Andres Bianchi          4    2    6
Mf Leron  Katz             7    2    9     Mf Rory MacDonald          8    0    8
Mf Simon Müller            7    2    9     Mf Jack Barry             10    0   10
Mf Martin Lejeune          3    2    5     Mf Miksa Kelemen           4    0    4
Fw Alex Murphy            12    2   14     Fw Alexander Murphy        8    0    8
Fw Craig Porterfield       7    2    9     Fw Joel Sansom             8    0    8
Fw Harvey Barrett          3    2    5     Fw Liam McColl             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 21 35 28        ROSTER TOTALS       7  0 28 22 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 21 35 37         T O T A L S        7  0 28 22 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.21 (no red card)

Sw Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.69 (no second yellow)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.48 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.25 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.89 (no red card)

Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.37 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.9 (no red card)

Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.63 (no red card)

Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no red card)

Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.07 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.97 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.12 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.47 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.84 (no red card)

Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.26 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.48 (no red card)

Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.22 (no red card)

Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.79 (no second yellow)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.81 (no red card)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury) 
Sw Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.21 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.1 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.93 (no injury) 
Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.99 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Simon Müller is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Simon Müller new match skill level =  4
      Simon Müller new match total level =  6
Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.98 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.84 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.57 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.12 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.42 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no injury) 
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.35 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.05 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.59 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alex Murphy SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 7

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Barry SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  11  21  32  37
  Marine FC                7   0  28  22  23

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (37 - 28); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((32 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 73.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Leron  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Leron  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 56.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 29.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                7   0  28  22  23
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  11  21  32  37

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 2 (23 - 21); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 37) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  MARINE FC 0
 
Match Notes
5 shots on target from 14 shots is woeful.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 01/31 - 7:15 PM
 
 
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