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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Owen Brudenell         13    0   13
Sw Keith Davis            11    2   13     Sw Lucas Moore             7    2    9
Df Steven Gascoigne       13    0   13     Df André Carvalho         12    0   12
Df Finlay Butcher          7    2    9     Df John Tufnel             7    2    9
Df Bailey Dowson           5    2    7     Df Cesar Ruiz              3    2    5
Mf Simon Fischer          17    1   18     Df Geoffrey Simpson        9    1   10
Mf Kian Sansom             7    2    9     Mf Melker Lundin           7    2    9
Mf Owen MacLean            6    2    8     Mf Jakob Schmitz           6    2    8
Fw Baron Marshall         13    1   14     Fw Toby Hall               6    2    8
Fw Lawrence Clark         10    0   10     Fw Taylor Shilton          6    2    8
Fw Harley Dowson           7    2    9     Fw George Taylor           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 29 35 33        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 36 17 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 13 29 35 42         T O T A L S       13  9 38 17 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.11 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.73 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.99 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.3 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.42 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.35 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.6 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.05 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.54 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.38 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.5 (no red card)

Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.15 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.09 (no red card)

Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.41 (no second yellow)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.72 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.15 (no red card)

Fw George Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 21.68 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.62 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.97 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.57 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.45 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.65 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.99 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.63 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.22 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Lawrence Clark is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lawrence Clark new match skill level =  5
      Lawrence Clark new match total level =  5
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.17 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 78.0 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.56 (no injury) 
Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.88 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.41 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Melker Lundin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Melker Lundin new match skill level =  4
      Melker Lundin new match total level =  6
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.82 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jakob Schmitz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jakob Schmitz new match skill level =  3
      Jakob Schmitz new match total level =  5
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.73 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury) 
Fw George Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Carvalho SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18  13  29  35  37
  Bridgwater Town          13   9  38  11  21

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 38)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 12 ((35 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          13   9  38  11  21
  FC United of Manchester  18  13  29  35  37

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 29)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df André Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 4  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
Martyn is currently just above us on the tables. We shall expect to see that gap widen very shortly…
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/09 - 4:24 PM
We were honored to host Martyn’s youth team this weekend
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:21 PM
And to teach his Mf tandem when to keep their mouths shut (though both were injured only due to his increased hardness, not ours)
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:21 PM
 
 
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