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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  WORKSOP TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joe Cameron             8    1    9     Gk Andrew Ryan            10    1   11
Df Tihamér Pap             8    0    8     Df Liam Åkesson           14   -1   13
Df Finlay Cooke            8    0    8     Df Don Edwards            11    0   11
Df Tyler Reynolds          7    0    7     Df Don Griffiths           9   -1    8
Df Jelle Beckers           5    0    5     Df Harley Watson           7    2    9
Mf Andrea Marino           9    0    9     Mf Kieran Lawrence        12    0   12
Mf Giles Hanny             6    0    6     Mf Max Webb               11    0   11
Mf Adi Peretz              2    2    4     Mf Callum McGuire         10    0   10
Fw Cristobal Saez          9    0    9     Mf Laurence Sansom         6    2    8
Fw Reuben Dowson           8    0    8     Fw Alexander Kilkenny     11    0   11
Fw Tony Murray             7    0    7     Fw Lewis Hill              8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 28 19 24        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 41 41 20    
       0  0  3  0  3          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  1  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 34 20 30         T O T A L S       11  0 41 41 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.83 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 50.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 34.22 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 29.2 (no second yellow)

Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 67.47 (no second yellow)

Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 41.24 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 80.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 51.63 (no red card)

Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 5.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 60.26 (no second yellow)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 76.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 45.95 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 16.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 16.12 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 22.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 63.81 (no red card)

Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 26.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 39.32 (no red card)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.33 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.11 (no red card)

Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.3 (no red card)

Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.26 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no red card)

Mf Max Webb: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.1 (no red card)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.72 (no red card)

Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.47 (no red card)

Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.68 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.09 (no injury) 
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.75 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.64 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.41 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.83 (no injury) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.96 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 69.0 (no injury) 
Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 70.68 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 52.75 (no injury) 
Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 74.31 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 56.02 (no injury) 
Mf Max Webb: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 6.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Callum McGuire is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 71.02 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 44.11 (no injury) 
Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 11.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 10

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Liam Åkesson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                9   0  34  20  30
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  41  41  20

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 41)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 3 ((34 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
Marine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Tihamér Pap
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Tihamér Pap
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Jelle Beckers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  41  41  20
  Marine FC                9   0  34  20  30

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 34)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((41 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((41 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Liam Åkesson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Don Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Don Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 46.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 89.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 30.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 46.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 1  -  WORKSOP TOWN FC 3
 
Match Notes
Nice win (Surprise!)
David (Worksop Town FC) 06/10 - 2:12 PM
 
 
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