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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18     Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15
Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17     Sw çngel Gabriel López    11    1   12
Df Barry Fortune-West     12    2   14     Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13
Df Liam Conner            11    2   13     Df Christopher Macbeth     9    0    9
Df Leo McNeill             7    2    9     Df Oscar Brennan           9    0    9
Df Elias Müller            6    2    8     Mf Vegard  Haugland       13    0   13
Mf Esteban Gallet         10    2   12     Mf Giles Walsh            12    0   12
Mf Kenzie Munro            6    2    8     Mf Gast?n Franco          12    0   12
Mf Jared Turner            3    2    5     Mf Federico Gentile        6    1    7
Fw Cole Hamilton           7    2    9     Fw Santiago Rubio         10    2   12
Fw Mark Wilson             6    2    8     Fw Rhys McColl             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 44 25 17        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 31 44 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 20 48 25 26         T O T A L S       15 12 31 44 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.36 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.68 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.74 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.03 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.13 (no red card)

Df Elias Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.69 (no red card)

Mf Jared Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.14 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.37 (no red card)

Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.01 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.02 (no red card)

Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.31 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.33 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.42 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.06 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.97 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.75 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.4 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.09 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.04 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.34 (no injury) 
Df Elias Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.98 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no injury) 
Mf Jared Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.55 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.68 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.66 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 48.24 (no injury) 
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.79 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.48 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.39 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.03 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.92 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.53 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Fortune-West SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  20  48  25  26
  Carlton Town FC          15  12  31  44  21

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 31)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((48 - 21) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Elias Müller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Barry Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15  12  31  44  21
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  20  48  25  26

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 48)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((44 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((31 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 0  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Who needs GKs when they save 0% of shots SL 18
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 01/25 - 9:03 PM
 
 
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