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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:08 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     EVESHAM UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             11    2   13     Gk Adrian Flores          16    0   16
Sw Danny Butcher          12    2   14     Sw Joseph Christian       13    0   13
Df Cliff Trickelbank      10    2   12     Df Lorenzo Ibañez         12    0   12
Df Jared Lampton           7    2    9     Df Matty Hunter           11    0   11
Df Ahmed Alaoui            3    2    5     Df Paul Werner            10    0   10
Mf Ryan Ludley            12    2   14     Df Denis Howard            3    2    5
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       7    2    9     Mf Melker Månsson         13    0   13
Mf Francis Jankel          3    2    5     Mf Paolo De Luca           6    2    8
Fw Raphaël Soulie         13    2   15     Mf Adam Jansson            5    2    7
Fw Leo O'Donnell           7    2    9     Fw Gregg Foster           13    0   13
Fw Tyler MacDonald         7    2    9     Fw Thomas Clarke          15    0   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 26 28 33        ROSTER TOTALS      16 13 38 28 28    
       1  0  0  0  8          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 26 28 50         T O T A L S       16 13 38 28 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 9
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 48.5 (no red card)

Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 86.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 90.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 96.48 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 30.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 24.66 (no red card)

Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 86.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 58.62 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 57.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 47.01 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 97.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 78.29 (no red card)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 32.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 73.48 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 27.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 3.69 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 5.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 91.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 24.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 31.93 (no red card)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.83 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Christian: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.89 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.06 (no red card)

Df Matty Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.38 (no second yellow)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.09 (no red card)

Df Denis Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.09 (no red card)

Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)

Mf Paolo De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.28 (no red card)

Mf Adam Jansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.78 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 9
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 24.06 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.83 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.27 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.63 (no injury) 
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 9.98 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.96 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.16 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.67 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.78 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 78.94 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 9
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.62%
Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 48.03 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Christian: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 38.7 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 24.16 (no injury) 
Df Matty Hunter: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 43.36 (no injury) 
Df Denis Howard: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 22.19 (no injury) 
Mf Paolo De Luca: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 82.84 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Jansson: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 25.39 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Raphaël Soulie SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Adrian Flores SL 16

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 9; (9 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Clarke SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 54 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14  14  26  28  50
  Evesham United FC        16  13  38  28  28

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 12 (50 - 38); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 34.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        16  13  38  28  28
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14  14  26  28  50

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 2 (28 - 26); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  EVESHAM UNITED FC 1
 
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