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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           EVESHAM UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            10    2   12     Gk Adrian Flores          13    0   13
Sw Ismael Romero           7    2    9     Sw Craig Thompson          5    2    7
Df Ciaran Healy           13    2   15     Df Matty Hunter           16   -1   15
Df William Larson         12    0   12     Df Miguel Mora            10    0   10
Df Jose Ortiz             11    1   12     Df Denis Howard            5    2    7
Df Stan Thompson           7    2    9     Mf Paolo De Luca          10    0   10
Mf Sean Long              12    2   14     Mf Emile Chambers          5    2    7
Mf Bailey Oakes           10    1   11     Mf Gabriel Miller          5    2    7
Mf Lok Lín                 7    2    9     Fw Gregg Foster           12    0   12
Fw Michael Turner         16    1   17     Fw Hans Wolf              12    0   12
Fw Hayden Marshall         7    2    9     Fw Kyle McNeill            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  9 48 34 26        ROSTER TOTALS      13  7 32 24 29    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 11 48 37 32         T O T A L S       13  7 32 24 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.81 (no red card)

Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.32 (no second yellow)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.99 (no red card)

Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.71 (no red card)

Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.06 (no red card)

Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card)

Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.21 (no second yellow)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)

Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.74 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.89 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.82 (no red card)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.37 (no red card)

Sw Craig Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.41 (no red card)

Df Matty Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.5 (no red card)

Df Miguel Mora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.15 (no red card)

Df Denis Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.7 (no red card)

Mf Paolo De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.28 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Paolo De Luca new match skill level =  5
      Paolo De Luca new match total level =  5

Mf Emile Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.56 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Miller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.65 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.25 (no red card)

Fw Hans Wolf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.21 (no red card)

Fw Kyle McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 85.75 (no injury) 
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.38 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.76 (no injury) 
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury) 
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 7.86 (no injury) 
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.97 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.56 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.72 (no injury) 
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.91 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.44 (no injury) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 15.57 (no injury) 
Sw Craig Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.1 (no injury) 
Df Matty Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.52 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Mora: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.65 (no injury) 
Df Denis Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.13 (no injury) 
Mf Paolo De Luca: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.11 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Chambers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.71 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Miller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.3 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.34 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Wolf: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.35 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle McNeill: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Adrian Flores SL 13

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Matty Hunter SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 62 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  11  48  37  32
  Evesham United FC        13   7  32  19  29

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 32)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 9 ((37 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 7 ((48 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df William Larson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df William Larson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df William Larson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Jose Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        13   7  32  19  29
  Tonbridge Angels         12  11  48  37  32

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 48)
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  EVESHAM UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
Andy Shaw's iron wall meets Moose crossing an ocean of ambition. Something has to give today.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/23 - 7:30 PM  
We need to find our home form to stay away from the relegation zone.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/27 - 5:26 PM  
Andy Shaw keeps it tight as always, but Moose came all the way from Lakeville to drag a point back across the Atlantic — fair dues to Evesham for holding their ground.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/30 - 7:30 PM  
Two points dropped this match. That’s what happens when you play dirty.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/02 - 8:49 PM  
 
 
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