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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 40 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         14    2   16     Gk Thibaut Pouliquen       3    2    5
Sw Fortunato  Torres      11    2   13     Df Kai Hawkins             7    2    9
Df Gabriel Williams       11    1   12     Df Finn Kelly              7    2    9
Df Vegar Aas               7    2    9     Df Calum Morrison          7    2    9
Df James Hays              3    2    5     Df Billy Smith             4    2    6
Mf Michael Möller         10    1   11     Mf Eoghan Thompson         9    1   10
Mf Cliff Gerrard           3    2    5     Mf Justin Burns            7    2    9
Fw Ian Hunter             12    1   13     Mf Jake Brooks             4    2    6
Fw William Torres         12    0   12     Fw Francis Richards       11    2   13
Fw Luke Cockburn          15    1   16     Fw Max Black               7    2    9
Fw Justin Neumann          6    2    8     Fw Glen Cole               3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 26 16 49        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 33 25 27    
       3  3  0  4  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  3  4  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 26 20 58         T O T A L S        7  0 36 29 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 79.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 44.95 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 95.06 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 53.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 25.31 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.82 (no red card)

Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 15.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 35.37 (no second yellow)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 43.91 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 58.97 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 60.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 78.7 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 44.46 (no red card)

Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 80.61 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 85.48 (no red card)

Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card)

Df Finn Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.25 (no second yellow)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.46 (no second yellow)

Df Billy Smith: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.67 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.52 (no red card)

Mf Justin Burns: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.19 (no red card)

Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.57 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.44 (no red card)

Fw Max Black: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.5 (no red card)

Fw Glen Cole: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.19 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 28.66 (no injury) 
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 9.3 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 29.15 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 10.57 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 62.67 (no injury) 
Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.25%
Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury) 
Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) 
Df Finn Kelly: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 3.82 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Finn Kelly is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Finn Kelly new match skill level =  4
      Finn Kelly new match total level =  6
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no injury) 
Df Billy Smith: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 83.44 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 98.41 (no injury) 
Mf Justin Burns: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 53.64 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 87.43 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 17.71 (no injury) 
Fw Max Black: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Cole: Chance of injury = 10.5% | Random number = 94.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luke Cockburn SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Thibaut Pouliquen SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Francis Richards SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 64 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  16  26  20  58
  Clevedon Town FC         7   0  33  29  27

Clevedon Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (58 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 40.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 36.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 73.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Clevedon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         7   0  33  29  27
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  16  26  20  58

Clevedon Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Justin Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jake Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Max Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 98.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Well played Bryce!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/15 - 3:51 PM
 
 
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