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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18     Gk Ali Benjelloun          3    2    5
Sw Florian Schmid         13    2   15     Sw Jamie Johnson           9    0    9
Df Callum Henderson       11    2   13     Df Thomás Lebre           11    2   13
Df Declan MacLellan       10    2   12     Df Frank Goodwin           6    2    8
Mf Cliff Cooper           10    1   11     Df Giovanni Esposito       3    2    5
Mf Martin Lejeune          6    2    8     Df Martin Ward             3    2    5
Fw Marcos Nuñez           14    2   16     Mf Harley Ritchie          7    2    9
Fw Cole Hamilton          16    1   17     Mf Rhys Johnstone          6    2    8
Fw Alex Murphy            12    1   13     Fw Roberto Conti           6    2    8
Fw Raymond Vasquez        12    1   13     Fw Victor Jourdan          6    2    8
Mf Craig Porterfield       8    2   10     Fw Miguel Angel Ramos      3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 25 29 59        ROSTER TOTALS       5  9 31 17 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 25 29 68         T O T A L S        5  9 31 17 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.13 (no red card)

Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.56 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.8 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.62 (no red card)

Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.79 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.63 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no red card)

Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Raymond Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.81 (no red card)

Mf Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.17 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ali Benjelloun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.23 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card)

Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.84 (no red card)

Df Giovanni Esposito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.86 (no red card)

Df Martin Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.85 (no red card)

Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.87 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.78 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.63 (no injury) 
Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.39 (no injury) 
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.01 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.82 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.37 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Cole Hamilton is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Cole Hamilton new match skill level =  8
      Cole Hamilton new match total level =  9
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no injury) 
Fw Raymond Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.37 (no injury) 
Mf Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.56 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ali Benjelloun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.55 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.54 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.79 (no injury) 
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.34 (no injury) 
Df Giovanni Esposito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Giovanni Esposito is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Giovanni Esposito new match skill level =  2
      Giovanni Esposito new match total level =  4
Df Martin Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) 
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.24 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.55 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Angel Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Nuñez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ali Benjelloun SL 3

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomás Lebre SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  25  29  60
  Luton Town FC            5   9  30  17  21

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 30 (60 - 30); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((29 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Martin Lejeune
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Martin Lejeune
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Cliff Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Martin Lejeune
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 70.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 69.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 15.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 55.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Raymond Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            5   9  30  17  21
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  25  29  60

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 25)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 4  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Luton Town rolling into the New Manor Ground today — Olmec Steve and his warriors won't be overawed. Big test, but home walls hold power.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/27 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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