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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           12    2   14     Gk Mateo Romano           12    0   12
Sw Declan Wilson          15   -2   13     Sw Paul MacKenzie         10    0   10
Df Matty Parsons          13    2   15     Df Eoin O'Neal            10    0   10
Df Jannick Schmitz        14    1   15     Df Gilberto Medina        10    0   10
Df Liam Conner             7    2    9     Df Hans Hahn               9    2   11
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12     Mf Coll Wilson            14    0   14
Mf Kai Jones               7    2    9     Mf Callum Davies          10    0   10
Fw Leon Fischer           13    2   15     Mf Robbie Mitchell        10    0   10
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    2   15     Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu            6    2    8
Fw Moritz Schultze         7    2    9     Fw Rob Ramsey             11    0   11
Fw André Souza             6    2    8     Fw Nico Fuchs             10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 39 21 47        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 31 42 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 39 21 56         T O T A L S       12 10 31 42 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.28 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.77 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.99 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.64 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.72 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.98 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.36 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.92 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.46 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.23 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.38 (no red card)

Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.03 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.69 (no second yellow)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.81 (no red card)

Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.92 (no second yellow)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.98 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.85 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.27 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.82 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.73 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.07 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.73 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.41 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.69 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.12 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.16 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.39 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.32 (no injury) 
Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.79 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.12 (no injury) 
Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.46 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 12

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Coll Wilson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 12

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         14  13  39  21  56
  Mossley AFC              12  10  31  42  21

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (56 - 31); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((39 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Matty Parsons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Matty Parsons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 19.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 52.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              12  10  31  42  21
  Ilkeston Town FC         14  13  39  21  56

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 39)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 11 ((42 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Robbie Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  MOSSLEY AFC 2
 
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