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York City FC
James Tucker
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lee Calhoun            16    2   18     Gk Guillaume Hebert       16    2   18
Sw Dennis Ruddle          11    2   13     Df Ryan Barber            13    2   15
Df Barry Lane             13    2   15     Df Jed Dury               10    2   12
Df Gabin Thomas            7    2    9     Df Elias Schneider         6    2    8
Mf Carlos Torres          14    1   15     Mf Nigel Howells          13    2   15
Mf Algenon Morgan          6    2    8     Mf Manuel Iglesias        10    1   11
Fw Frank Gerrard          13    2   15     Mf Callum Blake            6    2    8
Fw Carleton Baker         12    2   14     Fw Ben Butcher            15    0   15
Fw Coll Simpson           12    2   14     Mf Carrington Bates       11    2   13
Fw Oscar Welbeck           7    0    7     Fw Peter Harding          10    2   12
Fw Alexander Butcher       7    2    9     Fw Brian Sanchez           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 24 23 59        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 35 47 35    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 13 24 23 69         T O T A L S       19  0 35 47 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.2 (no red card)

Sw Dennis Ruddle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.67 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.77 (no red card)

Df Gabin Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.84 (no red card)

Mf Algenon Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.78 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.37 (no red card)

Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.31 (no red card)

Fw Coll Simpson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.43 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.71 (no second yellow)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 0.76 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.77 (no red card)

Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.96 (no red card)

Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.33 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.4 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.22 (no red card)

Mf Callum Blake: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.83 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.24 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.43 (no red card)

Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 25.77 (no injury) 
Sw Dennis Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.2 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.06 (no injury) 
Df Gabin Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.04 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.12 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon Morgan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.53 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.16 (no injury) 
Fw Coll Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.44 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.47 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.32 (no injury) 
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 57.66 (no injury) 
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.04 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.55 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Torres SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Butcher SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Lee Calhoun SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             21  13  24  23  69
  AFC Wimbledon            19   0  35  47  35

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 17 (69 - 35) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Oscar Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Alexander Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Oscar Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Carleton Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Coll Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alexander Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 86.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Alexander Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Coll Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Oscar Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Coll Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 22.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Carleton Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Oscar Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 85.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Carleton Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 71.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            19   0  35  47  35
  York City FC             21  13  24  23  69

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 11 (35 - 24); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 12 ((47 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 67.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Callum Blake
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum Blake
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 2  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
 
Match Notes
Tucks sets up camp at home again — and York's attacking instincts could tear Wimbledon apart if they get the tempo right early. The Railwaymen on their own tracks are a different beast entirely.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/25 - 7:30 PM  
Axel has his analysis spot on
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 05/26 - 4:55 PM  
Yes, we will be fortunate to compete in this match
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/30 - 2:27 PM  
 
 
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