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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jermaine Parry         10    2   12     Gk George Cockham         13    0   13
Sw Sean Carroll            7    2    9     Sw Nathan Khan            12    1   13
Df Luke Crowley           13    2   15     Df Sean Taylor            10    2   12
Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15     Df Nicolas Gonzalez       10    2   12
Df Ciaran Healy            7    2    9     Df Albert Goodwin          7    2    9
Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    2   15     Df Zak Strachan            3    2    5
Mf Joe Barrett            16    2   18     Mf Noah Brown              9    2   11
Mf Jordi Navarro           3    2    5     Mf Patrick Torres          7    2    9
Fw Matais Juarez          15    2   17     Mf Louis Ferdinand         3    2    5
Fw Jens Kristensen         7    2    9     Fw Andrew Palmer           8    1    9
Fw Daniel Barbosa          3    2    5     Fw Young Soo Shin          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  9 39 38 31        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 38 25 14    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 11 39 39 39         T O T A L S       13 16 42 25 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.59 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.18 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.25 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.71 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.22 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.48 (no second yellow)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.08 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.07 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.87 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.96 (no red card)

Df Sean Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.32 (no red card)

Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.71 (no red card)

Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.88 (no red card)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)

Mf Noah Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.49 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.79 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.21 (no second yellow)

Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Jermaine Parry: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 13.29 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.43 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.03 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.57 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.31 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.52 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.41 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.32 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk George Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 66.39 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.27 (no injury) 
Df Sean Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.59 (no injury) 
Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.64 (no injury) 
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.65 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.77 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.7 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.66 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.57 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Palmer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.7 (no injury) 
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 16
   - Defending Gk: George Cockham SL 13

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Sean Taylor SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Jermaine Parry SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  11  39  39  39
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       13  16  42  25  14

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 42)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 7 ((39 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((39 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Ciaran Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 48.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       13  16  42  25  14
  Tonbridge Angels         12  11  39  39  39

Shepshed Dynamo FC is Playing For A Draw!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 39)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 1 ((42 - 39) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Albert Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1
 
Match Notes
Dynamo are currently bottom but this won’t be easy.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/08 - 5:53 PM
Just about did enough to take all the points.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/18 - 9:45 PM
 
 
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