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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 42 // Landing
 
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(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18     Gk William Williams       16    2   18
Df Archie Milner          11    2   13     Sw Christian Murray       13    2   15
Df Gordon Brown           14    2   16     Df Albert Goodwin         11    2   13
Df Algernon Murphy         7    2    9     Df Zak Strachan           10    2   12
Mf Evan Burns             14    2   16     Df Alexander Campbell      7    2    9
Df Sylar Kelley           12    2   14     Mf Louis Ferdinand        10    2   12
Mf Sheng Guo               7    2    9     Mf Victor Timmermans       7    2    9
Fw Marcos Azevedo         13    1   14     Fw Reece Reid             14    2   16
Fw Evan Gerrard           13    2   15     Fw Archie Hill            16    2   18
Fw Lincoln Johnson        11    2   13     Fw Ollie O'Brien          10    1   11
Fw William Murphy         10    2   12     Fw Rafael Almeida          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 52 25 54        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 34 21 54    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 62 25 54         T O T A L S       21 15 34 21 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Df Archie Milner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.54 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.3 (no red card)

Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no red card)

Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card)

Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.49 (no red card)

Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.03 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.45 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.06 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.17 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.92 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk William Williams: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 88.22 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)

Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.22 (no second yellow)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.42 (no red card)

Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.7 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.82 (no red card)

Mf Victor Timmermans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.8 (no red card)

Fw Reece Reid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)

Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.42 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.7 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 17.76 (no injury) 
Df Archie Milner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no injury) 
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.77 (no injury) 
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.25 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.11 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Evan Gerrard is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.78 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.03 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk William Williams: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.52 (no injury) 
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.98 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Timmermans: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.79 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.59 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 14
   - Defending Gk: William Williams SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Archie Hill SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18   0  62  25  54
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  15  34  21  54

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 20 (54 - 34); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((62 - 54) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Archie Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 78.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Evan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 36.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 19.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 19.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 97.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  15  34  21  54
  Welling United FC        18   0  62  25  54

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 62)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1
 
Match Notes
Eduard brings his Welling side out under home skies today — Shepshed Dynamo travel far and arrive hungry. These away warriors are dangerous when underestimated.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/27 - 7:30 PM  
Clash of the titans
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/30 - 2:34 PM  
Ooookay ...
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/06 - 1:31 PM  
I admit I felt a completely unjustified sense of security after the early lead - given Shepshed's ZERO attacks
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/06 - 1:32 PM  
Another 1.1 xP down the drain
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/06 - 1:32 PM  
 
 
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