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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:08 AM (gmt)
 
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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          16    2   18     Gk Namir  Cohen            8    0    8
Sw Benjamin White         11    0   11     Df Paul Lange              5    2    7
Df Matheo Seguin          15    0   15     Df Zadok  Chazan           5    2    7
Df Jeff Hughes            13    0   13     Df Kyle Harris             5    2    7
Df Simon Bellec           16    0   16     Mf Taylor Gerrard          7    0    7
Df Vilgot Falk            10    1   11     Mf Luke Terry              6    2    8
Mf Euan Barclay           14    0   14     Mf Nick Weiss              6    2    8
Mf Angel Vazquez          10    1   11     Mf Alfredo Vargas          6    1    7
Mf Young Ja  Shin         10    1   11     Fw Gabriel Whiteside      12    1   13
Fw Max Daly               12    0   12     Fw Andrew Williamson       6    0    6
Fw William Peverell       11    0   11     Fw Nigel Bradley           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 55 36 23        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 21 30 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 55 36 32         T O T A L S        8  0 21 30 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card)

Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.01 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.87 (no red card)

Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.31 (no red card)

Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.2 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.8 (no red card)

Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card)

Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.75 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.4 (no red card)

Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.3 (no second yellow)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.74 (no red card)

Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.85 (no red card)

Df Zadok  Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.7 (no red card)

Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.07 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card)

Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.17 (no red card)

Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.85 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.26 (no second yellow)

Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.72 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      James MacLeod is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.53 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.06 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.71 (no injury) 
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.52 (no injury) 
Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.63 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.15 (no injury) 
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.51 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.03 (no injury) 
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.56 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.11 (no injury) 
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.77 (no injury) 
Df Zadok  Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.59 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.19 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.38 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Luke Terry loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luke Terry new match skill level =  3
      Luke Terry new match total level =  5
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.06 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.47 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Bellec SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Namir  Cohen SL 8

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Whiteside SL 12
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 16

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                18  11  55  36  32
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  21  27  25

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 11 (32 - 21); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 5 ((36 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 10 ((55 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Simon Bellec
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 50.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 1.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 21.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Simon Bellec
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 72.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Df Vilgot Falk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 93.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 32.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 36.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 41.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 6.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 41.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  21  27  25
  AFC Fylde                18  11  55  36  32

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 55)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 4  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
 
Match Notes
Won 15 and Lost 25, so not entirely confident going in to this match
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/29 - 8:48 PM
 
 
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