(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC MARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dylan Foster 6 2 8 Gk Thiago Alves 10 2 12
Sw Jason Meyer 10 0 10 Sw Alfredo Herrera 4 2 6
Mf Sebastian Shrimpton 9 1 10 Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8
Df Philipp Koch 7 -1 6 Df Ryan Richardson 7 0 7
Df Reis Golan 7 2 9 Df Afonso Gomes 4 2 6
Mf David Perry 7 2 9 Mf Jack Barry 8 0 8
Mf Cameron Hill 5 2 7 Mf Andrea Marino 10 -2 8
Fw Jamie Carroll 12 0 12 Mf Rory MacDonald 4 2 6
Fw Nils Schneider 11 1 12 Fw Cliff Ruddle 8 0 8
Fw Kerecsen Deák 7 2 9 Fw Joel Sansom 7 0 7
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 6 2 8 Fw Alexander Murphy 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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8 10 15 26 41 ROSTER TOTALS 12 6 21 22 21
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 2 0 2 2
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
8 10 15 35 41 T O T A L S 12 8 21 24 23
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.69 (no red card)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.77 (no red card)
Mf Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.44 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.03 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.74 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.41 (no red card)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.15 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.23 (no red card)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.08 (no red card)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.89 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.78 (no red card)
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 6
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.78 (no red card)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 35.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 1.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Alfredo Herrera new match skill level = 2
Alfredo Herrera new match total level = 4
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 92.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 9.32 (no red card)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 55.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 45.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 46.79 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.01 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 77.48 (no second yellow)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 47.16 (no red card)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 18.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 3.5 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 79.99 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 77.43 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no injury)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 4.27 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Jason Meyer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Jason Meyer new match skill level = 5
Jason Meyer new match total level = 5
Mf Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 61.25 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 76.99 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 99.29 (no injury)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 6.46 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Cameron Hill is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Cameron Hill new match skill level = 3
Cameron Hill new match total level = 5
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 71.6 (no injury)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 87.29 (no injury)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 72.37 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 87.64 (no injury)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 82.23 (no injury)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.19 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.66 (no injury)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.68 (no injury)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.15 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.69 (no injury)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.78 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Cliff Ruddle is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Cliff Ruddle new match skill level = 4
Cliff Ruddle new match total level = 4
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.28 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.0 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jamie Carroll SL 12
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 10
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 6
intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 8 5 15 33 41
Marine FC 12 6 21 24 19
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 20 (41 - 21); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 19) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 56.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 0.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 12 6 21 24 19
Luton Town FC 8 5 15 33 41
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 4 (19 - 15); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 13.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 1 - MARINE FC 0
Match Notes
First of a 4 match session, happy to be in front of the home crowd. Best of luck, Derek!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/14 - 4:59 PM