(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Aidan Peters 7 2 9 Gk Rafael Blanco 3 2 5
Df Jared Lampton 12 2 14 Df Kyle Harris 7 2 9
Df Ahmed Alaoui 7 2 9 Df Ruud Voorhees 5 0 5
Mf Rodrigo Fernández 12 2 14 Df Mathias Garreau 4 -2 2
Mf Lucas Phillips 12 2 14 Df William Laroche 3 2 5
Mf Ryan Ludley 10 0 10 Df Harley Bird 3 2 5
Mf Lewis Coppell 11 2 13 Mf Devon Lennon 7 0 7
Mf Francis Jankel 6 2 8 Mf Taylor Gerrard 6 0 6
Mf Jay Campbell 6 2 8 Mf Marcos Mendez 4 2 6
Fw Leo O'Donnell 12 2 14 Fw Jose Carlos Perez 5 2 7
Fw Kai Roberts 7 2 9 Fw Nigel Bradley 5 1 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
9 0 23 67 23 ROSTER TOTALS 5 0 26 19 13
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 0 32 67 23 T O T A L S 5 0 26 19 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.86 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.87 (no red card)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.95 (no red card)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.82 (no red card)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.46 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.59 (no red card)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.24 (no red card)
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.64 (no second yellow)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.64 (no red card)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.84 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.21 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.99 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.67 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.73 (no red card)
Df William Laroche: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.19 (no red card)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.31 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.06 (no red card)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.31 (no red card)
Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no red card)
Fw Jose Carlos Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.85 (no red card)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.44 (no injury)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.62 (no injury)
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no injury)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.9 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Rodrigo Fernández is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.39 (no injury)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no injury)
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.33 (no injury)
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.8 (no injury)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.91 (no injury)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.33 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.71 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.21 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.27 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.93 (no injury)
Df William Laroche: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.24 (no injury)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.43 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.97 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury)
Mf Marcos Mendez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury)
Fw Jose Carlos Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.32 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jared Lampton SL 12
- Defending Gk: Rafael Blanco SL 3
intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kyle Harris SL 7
- Defending Gk: Aidan Peters SL 7
intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 9 0 32 67 23
Forest Green Rovers FC 5 0 26 19 13
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 26)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 24 ((67 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 13) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Df Jared Lampton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 0.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Ahmed Alaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 62.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Jared Lampton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 71.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Jared Lampton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 61.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 39.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 20.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 77.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 67.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 14.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 86.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Mf Jay Campbell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 87.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
24: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 67.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 30.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 96.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
28: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 95.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 5 0 26 19 13
Swindon Supermarine FC 9 0 32 67 23
Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 32)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 67) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Mathias Garreau
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 49.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 10 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
Match Notes
Swindon Supermarine versus Forest Green Rovers. Two clubs, one Saturday, the familiar geometry of it all. I'll watch anyway. I always do.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/29 - 7:30 PM
well that went well !
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/30 - 8:19 PM
ofcourse, kinda expected
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/30 - 8:19 PM
Hmmm...sure seemed like John was running up the score here Mark. 😎
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/30 - 10:07 PM