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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           14    0   14     Gk Ryan Caron             12    2   14
Sw Jason Meyer            15    0   15     Sw Dave Nguyen            13    2   15
Df Fabian Schulz          16    0   16     Df Thomas McIntyre        11    2   13
Df Robin Ostrander        10    2   12     Df Julian Kahn            10    0   10
Df Logan Peters            8    2   10     Df Mason Shaw              7    2    9
Mf Harrison McBrayne      11    1   12     Mf Owen Roberts           11    2   13
Mf Cameron Hill           10    1   11     Mf Noah Young             11    1   12
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon         10    1   11     Mf Ryan White              7    2    9
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    0   13     Mf Lewis Coppell           7    2    9
Fw William Johnson        12    0   12     Fw Pedro Souza            11    1   12
Fw Nils Schneider         11    2   13     Fw Jermaine Bennett        7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 38 34 38        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 32 43 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 38 34 47         T O T A L S       14 15 39 43 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.44 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.66 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.78 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.25 (no red card)

Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no red card)

Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.72 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.11 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.03 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.39 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.49 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.05 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)

Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.23 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.62 (no red card)

Df Julian Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.38 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.7 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.24 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ryan White new match skill level =  4
      Ryan White new match total level =  6

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.68 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.86 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.33 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.48 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.2 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.26 (no injury) 
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.67 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.69 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.23 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
Sw Dave Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.66 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.06 (no injury) 
Df Julian Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.95 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.79 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.94 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.83 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.24 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.74 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 12

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas McIntyre SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  15  38  34  47
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14  15  39  40  21

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (47 - 39); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Logan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14  15  39  40  21
  Luton Town FC            14  15  38  34  47

Swindon Supermarine FC is Playing For A Draw!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 38)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((40 - 34) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 3  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
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