(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 15 1 16 Gk Kevin Hawkins 15 1 16
Sw Jamie Johnson 13 0 13 Sw Luís Morais 11 1 12
Df Philipp Koch 12 1 13 Df Gareth Trickelbank 13 1 14
Df Reis Golan 12 2 14 Df Axel Lacour 12 2 14
Df Sebastian Shrimpton 10 2 12 Df Baron Jackson 6 -1 5
Mf Nathan Dean 11 1 12 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 12 1 13
Mf Jonathan Heddle 11 2 13 Mf Gareth Scott 6 2 8
Fw Nathan Phillips 16 1 17 Fw Sam East 13 1 14
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 12 2 14 Fw Fernando Cano 12 1 13
Fw Facundo Bruno 12 2 14 Fw Benjamin Christensen 11 1 12
Fw Jamie Carroll 11 2 13 Fw Nick Baumann 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 13 39 25 58 ROSTER TOTALS 16 12 33 21 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 13 39 25 67 T O T A L S 17 12 33 21 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.06 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.76 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.97 (no red card)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.57 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.1 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.51 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.38 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.52 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.73 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 88.64 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.77 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.58 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.68 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.21 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.43 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no second yellow)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.22 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.26 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no red card)
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.1 (no red card)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.38 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.18 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 62.55 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.04 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.56 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.07 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.65 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.06 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.9 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.93 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.48 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.23 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.89 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.15 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.12 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.1 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.17 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.45 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Gareth Scott is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Gareth Scott new match skill level = 3
Gareth Scott new match total level = 5
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.45 (no injury)
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.29 (no injury)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.39 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gareth Trickelbank SL 13
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15
intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 16 13 39 25 67
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 12 33 18 44
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 34 (67 - 33); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((25 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
36: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
37: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 12 33 18 44
Luton Town FC 16 13 39 25 67
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 5 (44 - 39); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 67) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 1 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
Match Notes
Pretty good match history for us here, but on a 4 game skid, hope to break it here.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/31 - 2:15 PM
Good luck, John!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/31 - 2:15 PM