(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ILKESTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gordon Wilkins 15 1 16 Gk Andrés Ramos 16 2 18
Sw Luís Morais 14 0 14 Df John Mullins 2 2 4
Df Lucas Soramaki 13 0 13 Sw Matty Parsons 10 2 12
Df Gareth Trickelbank 6 2 8 Df Leo McNeill 7 2 9
Mf Niklas König 11 1 12 Df Elias Müller 6 2 8
Mf Christopher Cannon 6 2 8 Mf Kenzie Munro 6 2 8
Fw Mark Solomon 13 0 13 Mf Cliff Cooper 3 2 5
Fw William Hay 12 1 13 Fw Leon Fischer 13 1 14
Fw Giorgio Grasso 15 0 15 Fw Kai Burke 12 2 14
Fw Sam East 6 2 8 Mf Cole Hamilton 5 2 7
Fw Fernando Cano 3 2 5 Fw Mark Wilson 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 14 21 20 54 ROSTER TOTALS 18 12 21 20 36
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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17 14 21 21 62 T O T A L S 18 15 25 20 36
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.97 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.14 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.51 (no red card)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.32 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.99 (no red card)
Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.89 (no red card)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.14 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.01 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.81 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.65 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.15 (no red card)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.62 (no red card)
Df John Mullins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.47 (no red card)
Sw Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.96 (no red card)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.37 (no red card)
Df Elias Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.62 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.92 (no second yellow)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.63 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.51 (no red card)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.38 (no red card)
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.54 (no second yellow)
Mf Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.04 (no red card)
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.25 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 68.03 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.16 (no injury)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.61 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no injury)
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.13 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.35 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.44 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.88 (no injury)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.19 (no injury)
Df John Mullins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.18 (no injury)
Sw Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.44 (no injury)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.91 (no injury)
Df Elias Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.9 (no injury)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.66 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.51 (no injury)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.32 (no injury)
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.4 (no injury)
Mf Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.49 (no injury)
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.47 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Giorgio Grasso SL 15
- Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Leon Fischer SL 13
- Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 14 21 21 62
Ilkeston Town FC 18 15 25 20 36
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 37 (62 - 25); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
37: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 18 15 25 20 36
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 17 14 21 21 62
Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (36 - 21) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Mark Wilson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 3 - ILKESTON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
We would have been left bottom without a win, so this was big
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/25 - 8:35 PM