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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Guery         13    1   14     Gk James Wood              3    2    5
Df Chris Howard           14    0   14     Sw Ismael Romero           7    2    9
Df Francis Martin         11    1   12     Df Steve Gordon           12    1   13
Df Murray Taylor          11    0   11     Df William Larson         12    0   12
Df Carleton Griffiths      6    2    8     Df Mathias Sørensen       10    1   11
Mf Liam Dixon             12    0   12     Df Stan Thompson           7    2    9
Mf Alistair Carr          11    1   12     Df Henry Neville           3    2    5
Fw Sveinur Hansen         15    0   15     Mf Jordi Navarro          11    1   12
Fw Trevor Hanny           11    2   13     Mf Lok Lín                 7    2    9
Fw Rhys McColl            11    0   11     Fw Daniel Barbosa         12    2   14
Fw Santiago Rubio          7    2    9     Fw Hayden Marshall         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 45 24 48        ROSTER TOTALS       5  9 50 21 23    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 45 24 59         T O T A L S        8 10 57 21 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.15 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.72 (no second yellow)

Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.14 (no red card)

Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.71 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.92 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.08 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.04 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.07 (no second yellow)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.67 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.41 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk James Wood: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 22.23 (no red card)

Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.1 (no red card)

Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 20.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.63 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.0 (no red card)

Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.29 (no red card)

Df Henry Neville: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 81.7 (no second yellow)

Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 3.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 7.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.91 (no second yellow)

Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.27 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.0%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.56 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 97.11 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 58.97 (no injury) 
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 21.91 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 93.4 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 64.34 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 59.48 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 9.82 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 3.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Rhys McColl is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Rhys McColl new match skill level =  6
      Rhys McColl new match total level =  6
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 87.11 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk James Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.81 (no injury) 
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.25 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 69.32 (no injury) 
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.72 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.21 (no injury) 
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 47.41 (no injury) 
Df Henry Neville: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.74 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 86.81 (no injury) 
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 87.32 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.65 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: James Wood SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Steve Gordon SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  45  24  54
  Tonbridge Angels         8  10  57  21  23

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 57)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((45 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Francis Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Carleton Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Francis Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Chris Howard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Chris Howard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 48.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         8  10  57  21  23
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  45  24  54

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 45)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((57 - 54) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df William Larson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
The first of two matches this session and the least important one. Not expecting much.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/27 - 5:25 PM  
Andy Shaw travels from Middlesbrough to keep it tight and win one nil, as is his custom. Carlton Town await, presumably unaware of the tactical grimness heading their way.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/27 - 7:30 PM  
Marvin certainly seems to have Andy’s number
Roger (Chasetown FC) 05/31 - 11:20 AM  
Yes I don’t like excitement. Keep the games dull.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/02 - 8:48 PM  
 
 
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