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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          16    2   18     Gk Florian De Vos         14    2   16
Sw Rhys Porter            12    0   12     Sw Shane Sweeney           3    2    5
Df Matheo Seguin          13    0   13     Df Henry Martin           11    1   12
Df Jeff Hughes            13    0   13     Df Ben Lawrence            9    2   11
Df Ryan Lasserre          13    0   13     Df Vegar Aas               7    2    9
Mf Young Ja  Shin         13    0   13     Df Aidan O'Neil            7    2    9
Mf James Gallaher         13    0   13     Mf Benjamin Healy         12    1   13
Mf Wes Lambert            10    1   11     Mf Juan Jose Carmona       6    2    8
Mf Angel Vazquez           6    2    8     Fw William Torres         12    0   12
Fw Ellis Boddington       14   -1   13     Fw Cooper Smith           10    1   11
Fw Max Daly               10    1   11     Fw Leonardo Delgado        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 12 39 45 24        ROSTER TOTALS      16  5 41 21 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  3  4  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 12 48 45 24         T O T A L S       19  8 45 21 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.7 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.74 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.29 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.37 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.79 (no red card)

Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.34 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.56 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.9 (no red card)

Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.78 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.1 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.69 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 65.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 65.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 60.84 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 55.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 59.48 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 92.3 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 33.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 51.37 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 18.65 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 54.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 64.32 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 24.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 38.18 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.4 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 60.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 90.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 18.72 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 60.5 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 3.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Ryan Lasserre is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ryan Lasserre new match skill level =  7
      Ryan Lasserre new match total level =  7
Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.61 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 46.29 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.06 (no injury) 
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 93.18 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 52.05 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 4.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Max Daly is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.22 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 61.69 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 34.73 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.02 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 36.99 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 2.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Benjamin Healy is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Benjamin Healy new match skill level =  6
      Benjamin Healy new match total level =  7
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.55 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.22 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 26.89 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ellis Boddington SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Torres SL 12
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 16

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                18  12  42  45  24
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   8  45  15  28

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 45)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 15 ((45 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 5 ((42 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 16.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 98.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 47.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 59.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 79.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   8  45  15  28
  AFC Fylde                18  12  42  45  24

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 42)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 7 ((45 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Will the 10 hardness from Al continue? The opposing manager today has always been susceptible to injuries...
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 06/14 - 11:28 AM
Normal service has been restored at Harrogate, and Phil stands to benefit, with six Beavers suspended for this match.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/14 - 3:45 PM
Hate to see all these injuries happening for two of my favourite managers.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 06/15 - 12:36 AM
Rough match here. Congratulations Phil!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/15 - 3:50 PM
 
 
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