(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 13 2 15 Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17
Sw Joel Strömberg 12 2 14 Df Axel Lacour 13 0 13
Df Philipp Koch 17 2 19 Df Baron Jackson 11 2 13
Df Reis Golan 11 2 13 Df Leonardo Greco 10 2 12
Df Thomás Lebre 11 2 13 Df Markus Jacobsen 8 2 10
Mf Nathan Dean 13 2 15 Df Hayden Duncan 7 2 9
Mf David Perry 13 2 15 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 13 1 14
Mf Rhys Johnstone 6 2 8 Mf Gareth Scott 11 0 11
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 13 1 14 Mf Henry Henry 7 2 9
Fw Nathan Phillips 12 2 14 Fw Sam East 15 0 15
Fw Albin Hansson 9 2 11 Fw Elliot Bunyan 11 1 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 14 45 38 39 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 57 34 27
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 14 45 47 39 T O T A L S 18 0 57 34 27
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.73 (no red card)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.09 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.56 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.0 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.73 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.08 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.55 (no red card)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.6 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.08 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.72 (no second yellow)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.93 (no red card)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.96 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.04 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 69.68 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.36 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.9 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.51 (no red card)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.78 (no red card)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.28 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.85 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.87 (no second yellow)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.56 (no red card)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.64 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 15.35 (no injury)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.53 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Joel Strömberg is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.76 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.78 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.3 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.06 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.51 (no injury)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.92 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.73 (no injury)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.7 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 24.16 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.78 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.0 (no injury)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.05 (no injury)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.12 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no injury)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.03 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Philipp Koch SL 17
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13
intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 15 14 45 47 39
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 0 57 34 27
AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 57)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((47 - 34) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((45 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 0 57 34 27
Luton Town FC 15 14 45 47 39
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 45)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 47) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 4 ((57 - 39) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Axel Lacour
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Leonardo Greco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Leonardo Greco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 2 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
Match Notes
Luton versus Rushden & Diamonds. Two clubs, one ball, ninety minutes of structured uncertainty. Somewhere, the heat death of the universe continues on schedule.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/29 - 7:30 PM
Classic offside trap backfire
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/30 - 10:00 PM