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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             7    2    9     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15     Sw Denis Pearce           10    2   12
Df Earl Kelly             13    2   15     Df William Munro          11    2   13
Df Agostino Beretta       16    0   16     Df Jack Brennan           10    1   11
Df Mathias Sørensen        7    2    9     Df Shaun Gibson            7    2    9
Df Ciaran Healy            3    2    5     Mf Danny Monkhouse        13    1   14
Mf Joe Barrett            13    2   15     Mf Arturo Molina           7    2    9
Mf Mateo Philippe         10    2   12     Mf Christopher Burroughs   3    2    5
Mf Fernando Rocha          7    2    9     Fw Antonio Leon           12    2   14
Fw Liam Thwaite           13    2   15     Fw Owen Harrison          10    1   11
Fw Michael Turner          7    2    9     Fw Mehdi Le gal            7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 15 45 36 24        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 33 28 32    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 15 45 38 31         T O T A L S       17 15 37 28 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 90.36 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.02 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.88 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.06 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.73 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.01 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.36 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.76 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.03 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.0 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.66 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.84 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.17 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.77 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.12 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.26 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.46 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.77 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.18 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 84.21 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.75 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.37 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.84 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.95 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.67 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Liam Thwaite is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Liam Thwaite new match skill level =  7
      Liam Thwaite new match total level =  9
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.86 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.7 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.0 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Shaun Gibson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shaun Gibson new match skill level =  4
      Shaun Gibson new match total level =  6
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.14 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.48 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.05 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.63 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Mehdi Le gal is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Mehdi Le gal new match skill level =  4
      Mehdi Le gal new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Danny Monkhouse SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         11  15  45  38  25
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  34  28  29

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 34)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 5 ((38 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 6 ((45 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  34  28  29
  Tonbridge Angels         11  15  45  38  25

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 45)
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 25) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Shaun Gibson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jack Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Hopefully we can make it three home wins from three.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/24 - 6:22 PM
We need some away results to have a chance.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 01/25 - 6:13 PM
Our third home league victory.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/25 - 7:09 PM
 
 
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