(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC KENDAL TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 16 2 18 Gk Dominic Lloyd 16 2 18
Sw Douglas Pereira 12 2 14 Sw Robin Spoor 15 2 17
Df Luca Herrmann 17 2 19 Df Theo Rowe 10 2 12
Df Benjamin Richman 8 2 10 Df Lucas Hill 8 2 10
Df Oscar Wood 5 2 7 Df Frank Vandermark 7 2 9
Mf Bernd Lang 10 2 12 Mf Arsenio Pérez 10 2 12
Mf Thomas Williams 10 1 11 Mf Albert Wise 7 2 9
Fw Samuel Rose 13 2 15 Fw Jermaine Rogers 13 1 14
Fw Nils Pettersson 13 2 15 Fw Riley Newton 10 2 12
Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 2 15 Fw Giles Lindsay 10 2 12
Fw Arran Fergus 11 2 13 Fw Algernon James 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 14 36 23 58 ROSTER TOTALS 18 17 31 21 47
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 36 23 67 T O T A L S 18 17 31 21 47
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.45 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.98 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.89 (no red card)
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.1 (no red card)
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.17 (no red card)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.08 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.6 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.98 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.26 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.13 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.03 (no red card)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.09 (no red card)
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.13 (no red card)
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.01 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.57 (no second yellow)
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.75 (no red card)
Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.87 (no red card)
Mf Arsenio Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.22 (no red card)
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.56 (no red card)
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.13 (no red card)
Fw Riley Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.47 (no red card)
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.09 (no red card)
Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.64 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.19 (no injury)
Df Oscar Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.7 (no injury)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.52 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.61 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.26 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.49 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.31 (no injury)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.73 (no injury)
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.7 (no injury)
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.23 (no injury)
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.51 (no injury)
Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.4 (no injury)
Mf Arsenio Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.6 (no injury)
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.23 (no injury)
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.26 (no injury)
Fw Riley Newton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.32 (no injury)
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.3 (no injury)
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.77 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
- Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 16
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jermaine Rogers SL 13
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 18 15 36 23 67
Kendal Town FC 18 17 31 21 47
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 36 (67 - 31); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 37
1: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
******* KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Kendal Town FC 18 17 31 21 47
Welling United FC 18 15 36 23 67
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (47 - 36); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 67) / 3; rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Giles Lindsay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Riley Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 1 - KENDAL TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Hopefully this isn't the match where Cong Li's age catches up with him
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/10 - 10:19 PM
Dave rooting for Ian hasn't been seen too often probably
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/13 - 8:47 PM
I wonder why - KEN has a 21-7 record vs WEL, including a 7-0 just recently
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/13 - 8:48 PM
I’m pulling for a draw, but I fear the I man won’t show up
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/14 - 1:35 AM