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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         13    2   15     Gk Archie Brakspear       12    1   13
Sw Fortunato  Torres      12    2   14     Sw Denis Pearce           13    2   15
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Jack Brennan           13    1   14
Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15     Df William Munro           6    2    8
Df Trevor Harewood         6    2    8     Df Shaun Gibson            3    0    3
Mf Luis Schmidt           10    2   12     Mf Liam Cox               18    0   18
Mf Michael Möller          7    2    9     Mf Ryan Welbeck            7    2    9
Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16     Fw Matthew Peverell       13    2   15
Fw Cooper Smith           10    2   12     Fw Owen Harrison          13    2   15
Fw Blair Munro            10    2   12     Fw Antonio Leon            6   -1    5
Fw William Torres          7    2    9     Fw Jay Palmer              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 39 21 49        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 25 27 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 39 21 58         T O T A L S       13 18 29 27 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.95 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.37 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.14 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.85 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.93 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.61 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.03 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.12 (no red card)

Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.42 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.92 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.07 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.44 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.34 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.29 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.57 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.12 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.12 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.84 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.19 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.95 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.18 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.78 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.77 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.68 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Luis Schmidt is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luis Schmidt new match skill level =  5
      Luis Schmidt new match total level =  7
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.36 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.89 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Blair Munro is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Blair Munro new match skill level =  5
      Blair Munro new match total level =  7
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.63 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.76 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.88 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.79 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.99 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.56 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.35 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 12

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  14  39  16  53
  Kingstonian FC           13  18  29  27  43

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 24 (53 - 29); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           13  18  29  27  43
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  14  39  16  53

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 2 (43 - 39) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 16) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
This has been a really balanced matchup since I joined, so this is a toss-up.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/07 - 10:13 PM
We've lost 3 of 4 to Mr. Halpin. Looks like 4 of 5 after this debacle...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/07 - 11:31 PM
Mind games
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/07 - 11:41 PM
Happy to get the points today against the tough K's.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/08 - 7:39 PM
A valiant effort by our SW, but it wasn't meant to be.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/15 - 1:18 AM
 
 
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