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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jake Flynn             13    1   14     Gk Jay Hussain            12    0   12
Sw Sean Buckley           13    0   13     Df Luca Lorimar           11    0   11
Df Francisco Vera         10    0   10     Df Evan Burke              6    2    8
Df Theo Crowley           10    0   10     Df Daniel Baldwin          2    2    4
Df Niklas Schneider        6    1    7     Mf Mons Nygård            12    0   12
Mf Harvey Allen           14    0   14     Mf Ryan White             11    1   12
Mf Marco Rizzo            17    0   17     Mf Lewis Coppell          10    1   11
Mf John Anderson           6    1    7     Mf Lucas Phillips          2    2    4
Fw Sean Sturridge         13    0   13     Fw Agustin Martínez       13    0   13
Fw Gonzalo Soler          10    0   10     Fw Sean Moore             10    1   11
Fw Corey Page             10    2   12     Fw Raphaël Soulie          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 27 38 35        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 23 39 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 27 38 44         T O T A L S       12  0 30 39 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.33 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.27 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.4 (no red card)

Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.79 (no red card)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.39 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card)

Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.33 (no red card)

Mf John Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.47 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.08 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.93 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.34 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.57 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.5 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.6 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.26 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.64 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.61 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.9 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jake Flynn is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jake Flynn new match skill level =  7
      Jake Flynn new match total level =  8
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.21 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.26 (no injury) 
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.14 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.78 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) 
Mf John Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.5 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.87 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.14 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.83 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.58 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.72 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.2 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.14 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.22 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.6 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marco Rizzo SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 12

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agustin Martínez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 7

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          8  13  27  38  44
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  30  39  32

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 14 (44 - 30); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 93.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 54.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 94.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 19.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   12   0  30  39  32
  Bedford Town FC          8  13  27  38  44

Swindon Supermarine FC is Playing For A Draw!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 3 (32 - 27) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 38) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 44) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Sean Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 5  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Wow that’s unlucky isn’t it, both teams no hardness and yet my gk gets a minus five point level reduction 😏
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 01/12 - 7:32 PM
WOW! Compo wins...but at what cost?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 01/13 - 12:05 AM
 
 
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