(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Burton Albion FC
James White
League Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC BURTON ALBION FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 14 1 15 Gk Ryan Walsh 11 2 13
Sw Jamie Johnson 13 0 13 Sw Theo Butcher 2 2 4
Df Thomás Lebre 13 0 13 Df Valentin Peralta 10 1 11
Df Philipp Koch 11 0 11 Df Adam Clarke 6 2 8
Df Reis Golan 11 0 11 Df Shay Carr 6 0 6
Mf Victor Shepard 13 0 13 Df Noah Thompson 2 2 4
Mf Nathan Dean 10 0 10 Mf Francis Brakspear 10 1 11
Mf David Perry 10 0 10 Mf Robert O'Neal 6 2 8
Fw Nathan Phillips 15 1 16 Mf Antonin Bourguignon 2 2 4
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 11 1 12 Fw Ian Lee 6 2 8
Fw Albin Hansson 5 2 7 Fw Yong Sun Yoo 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 13 35 33 35 ROSTER TOTALS 13 4 29 23 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 6 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
15 13 35 39 38 T O T A L S 13 4 36 23 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.15 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.28 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.82 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.87 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.81 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.96 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.89 (no second yellow)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.02 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.71 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.74 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.84 (no red card)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.92 (no red card)
******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.17 (no red card)
Sw Theo Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.13 (no second yellow)
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.37 (no red card)
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.62 (no red card)
Df Shay Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.29 (no red card)
Df Noah Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card)
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.47 (no second yellow)
Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.23 (no red card)
Fw Yong Sun Yoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.43 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.24 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.61 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.32 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.49 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.11 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.0 (no injury)
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no injury)
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.96 (no injury)
Sw Theo Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no injury)
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.28 (no injury)
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.59 (no injury)
Df Shay Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.86 (no injury)
Df Noah Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.94 (no injury)
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.26 (no injury)
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no injury)
Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.28 (no injury)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.36 (no injury)
Fw Yong Sun Yoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.47 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 11
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 87 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Valentin Peralta SL 10
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 14
intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 15 13 35 39 38
Burton Albion FC 13 4 36 23 16
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (38 - 36); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((39 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 7 ((35 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 39 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 71.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Burton Albion FC 13 4 36 23 16
Luton Town FC 15 13 35 39 38
Burton Albion FC is Playing For A Draw!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 35)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 38) / 3; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 3 - BURTON ALBION FC 0
Match Notes
Second straight week with BUR on the slate, we apparently have wronged the gods.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/17 - 2:11 PM