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Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

EVESHAM UNITED FC                          BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Geoffrey Bateman       13    0   13     Gk Owen Brudenell          5   -1    4
Sw Ollie Russell          13    0   13     Sw Mark Wright             7    0    7
Df Francisco Duarte       14    0   14     Df Oscar Martin           10    0   10
Df Lorenzo Ibañez         10    0   10     Df Derek Cook             10    0   10
Df Paul Werner             6    2    8     Df André Carvalho          6    2    8
Df James Fergusen          6    2    8     Df Josh Martin             3    2    5
Mf Corey Fox               8    1    9     Df Cameron Ramsay          2    2    4
Mf Glenn Stevens           6    2    8     Mf Geoffrey Simpson        6    2    8
Fw Albert Francis         15    0   15     Mf Patrick Gallaher        3    2    5
Fw Thomas Clarke          10    0   10     Fw Elvis Kristoffersen     3    2    5
Fw Gregg Foster            6    2    8     Fw Jay Meldrum             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 40 17 33        ROSTER TOTALS       4  7 37 13 10    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 40 26 33         T O T A L S        4  7 39 13 10    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.24 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.02 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.13 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.71 (no red card)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.19 (no second yellow)

Df James Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.15 (no red card)

Mf Corey Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.84 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.83 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.57 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.79 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.53 (no red card)

Sw Mark Wright: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.05 (no red card)

Df Oscar Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.69 (no red card)

Df Derek Cook: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.65 (no red card)

Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.27 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.6 (no red card)

Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.93 (no red card)

Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.0 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.79 (no red card)

Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.01 (no red card)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 11.18 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.24 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.64 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.82 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.08 (no injury) 
Df James Fergusen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.63 (no injury) 
Mf Corey Fox: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.92 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.83 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.4 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 89.53 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Wright: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.27 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.52 (no injury) 
Df Derek Cook: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.82 (no injury) 
Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.38 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.07 (no injury) 
Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 3.39 (no injury) 
Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Geoffrey Simpson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Geoffrey Simpson new match skill level =  3
      Geoffrey Simpson new match total level =  5
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.09 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Albert Francis SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Martin SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Geoffrey Bateman SL 13

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        13  13  40  26  33
  Bridgwater Town          4   7  39  10  10

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 39)
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((26 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 10 ((40 - 10) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Glenn Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 90.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Glenn Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Corey Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Glenn Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Glenn Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Corey Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Corey Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Glenn Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          4   7  39  10  10
  Evesham United FC        13  13  40  26  33

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 40)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 2 ((39 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Oscar Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df André Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
EVESHAM UNITED FC 1  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 1
 
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