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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            11    0   11     Gk Benjamin Lewis          9    1   10
Sw Reece Hamilton          8    1    9     Sw Jake James             10    1   11
Df Nathan Doyle           13    0   13     Df William Cockham        10    0   10
Df Logan Smith            11    0   11     Df Louie Bentinck          9    0    9
Df Luke Sinclair          10    1   11     Df Andrea De Luca          8    0    8
Mf Ian Hanny               9    0    9     Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           12    0   12
Mf Evan Jones              9    0    9     Mf Thomas Constant        11    0   11
Mf Marty Nicholls          7    0    7     Mf Sam Bate                4    2    6
Fw Vladimir Popov          8    0    8     Fw Luca Bell              10    0   10
Fw James St.Hubbins        8    0    8     Fw Eirik Iversen           8    0    8
Fw Paul Millot             7    1    8     Fw Oscar Lindström         2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  9 35 25 24        ROSTER TOTALS      10 11 27 29 22    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  9 35 25 37         T O T A L S       10 11 30 29 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.27 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.02 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.86 (no red card)

Df Logan Smith: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.49 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.92 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.46 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.97 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.15 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Marty Nicholls new match skill level =  4
      Marty Nicholls new match total level =  4

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.15 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.24 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      James St.Hubbins new match skill level =  4
      James St.Hubbins new match total level =  4

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.18 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.65 (no red card)

Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 81.73 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 9.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.89 (no red card)

Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.87 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 26.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.85 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.68 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Lindström: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 61.49 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 56.24 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 10.57 (no injury) 
Df Logan Smith: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 19.3 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 35.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 97.8 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 40.53 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 17.77 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 91.16 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury) 
Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.44 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury) 
Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.01 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 2.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Kuan-Yin Zhu is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kuan-Yin Zhu new match skill level =  6
      Kuan-Yin Zhu new match total level =  6
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Thomas Constant is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.03 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.66 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Lindström: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Doyle SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Constant SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       11   9  35  22  33
  Mossley AFC              10  11  30  23  22

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (33 - 30); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Luke Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Nathan Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Nathan Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Nathan Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 34.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              10  11  30  23  22
  Chippenham Town FC       11   9  35  22  33

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 35)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Mossley got off to a bad start, can we add to their woes?
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 06/01 - 9:30 PM
Actually a hideous start. Shouldn't even break a sweat by your boys in this one.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 06/04 - 6:36 PM
We deserved a point at least, but lady luck was not with us.
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 06/07 - 7:27 PM
What? We won?!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 06/10 - 1:18 AM
 
 
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