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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joe Cameron             8    1    9     Gk Maximilian Isaksson    13    2   15
Df Finlay Cooke            8    0    8     Df Delling Andersen        9    0    9
Df Tyler Reynolds          7    0    7     Df Graham Sansom           9    0    9
Df Harrison Rowbotham      6   -1    5     Df Ellis Fisher            9    0    9
Df Jelle Beckers           5    0    5     Mf Luca Cole              11    0   11
Mf Andrea Marino           8    0    8     Mf Daniel James           10    0   10
Mf Glenn Ellis             8   -1    7     Mf Juan Fernández          6    0    6
Mf Hajime Sakamoto         5    1    6     Mf William Pedersen        5    2    7
Fw Cristobal Saez          9    0    9     Fw Adam Shaw               9    0    9
Fw Tony Murray             7    0    7     Fw Claudio Gentile         7    0    7
Fw Wim Vandermark          4    0    4     Fw Andrew Young            6    0    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 25 21 20        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 27 34 22    
       0  0  3  0  3          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 31 23 25         T O T A L S       15  0 27 34 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)

Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 22.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 95.51 (no red card)

Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 5.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 88.93 (no second yellow)

Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 81.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 91.92 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 39.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 0.14 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Andrea Marino new match skill level =  4
      Andrea Marino new match total level =  4

Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 72.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 23.32 (no red card)

Mf Hajime Sakamoto: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 41.96 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 12.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 28.07 (no second yellow)

Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 54.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 47.88 (no red card)

Fw Wim Vandermark: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 24.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 68.92 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.72 (no red card)

Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.01 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.17 (no red card)

Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.51 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.73 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.37 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.02 (no red card)

Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.37 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.22 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 32.76 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.12 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.62 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.7 (no injury) 
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.46 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.84 (no injury) 
Mf Hajime Sakamoto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.47 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.0 (no injury) 
Fw Wim Vandermark: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.21 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.96 (no injury) 
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 69.09 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 7.29 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 86.96 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 8.5 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 81.16 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 29.66 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 44.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 13

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luca Cole SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 70 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                9   0  31  19  25
  Forest Green Rovers FC   15   0  27  34  22

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 27)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 2 ((31 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Finlay Cooke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Tyler Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   15   0  27  34  22
  Marine FC                9   0  31  19  25

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 31)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((34 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Ellis Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 97.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 15.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Daniel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 18.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 21.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 1  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 5
 
Match Notes
away from home, but will give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/31 - 7:49 PM
 
 
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