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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jake Flynn             11    2   13     Gk Luca Werner             3    2    5
Sw Sean Buckley           13    1   14     Sw Trevor Wallace         11    2   13
Df Darren Hanny            9    2   11     Df Leo Bergström          13    0   13
Df Harvey Burns            8    2   10     Df Algenon Webster        13    2   15
Df Francisco Vera          6    2    8     Df Clifton Ali            10    1   11
Mf Stefan Jensen          10    0   10     Df Luke Crowley            6    2    8
Mf Jeff Shilton            6    2    8     Mf Joe Barrett            11    1   12
Fw Carlton Lloyd          13    0   13     Mf Malte Axelsson         10    1   11
Fw Jamie Craig            10    2   12     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          6    2    8
Fw Corey Page              6    2    8     Fw Liam Thwaite           11    1   12
Fw Gonzalo Soler           6    2    8     Fw Matais Juarez           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 29 18 41        ROSTER TOTALS       5 13 47 31 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 29 18 50         T O T A L S        8 14 54 31 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.04 (no second yellow)

Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.14 (no red card)

Df Harvey Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.54 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.66 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.43 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Stefan Jensen new match skill level =  5
      Stefan Jensen new match total level =  5

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.98 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.68 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.65 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.78 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 12.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 83.47 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 10.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.65 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.25 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 81.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 15.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 12.22 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.21 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 75.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.11 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 93.47 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.26 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no injury) 
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 2.87 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Darren Hanny loses 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Darren Hanny new match skill level =  5
      Darren Hanny new match total level =  7
Df Harvey Burns: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 0.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Harvey Burns loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Harvey Burns new match skill level =  4
      Harvey Burns new match total level =  6
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.56 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.93 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 46.55 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 30.76 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.69 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 21.59 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 80.66 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.72 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.97 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.45 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carlton Lloyd SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 39 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leo Bergström SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 11

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          13  14  21  13  50
  Tonbridge Angels         8  14  54  31  20

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 54)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((13 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((21 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Darren Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 10.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         8  14  54  31  20
  Bedford Town FC          13  14  21  13  50

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 21)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 13) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((54 - 50) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 1  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
Don’t fancy our chances, damage control.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/30 - 10:20 PM
Looks like you might snatch it
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/01 - 7:23 PM
Uhmm
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/01 - 7:25 PM
Got away with playing our youth keeper but could have taken all the points.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/05 - 5:11 PM
 
 
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