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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          13    2   15     Gk James Wood              3    2    5
Sw Joel Strömberg         11    2   13     Sw Ismael Romero           6    2    8
Df Philipp Koch           16    2   18     Df William Larson         12    0   12
Df Thomás Lebre           11    2   13     Df Steve Gordon           11    0   11
Mf Nathan Dean            13    2   15     Df Jose Ortiz             11    0   11
Mf Victor Shepard         12    2   14     Df Stan Thompson           6    2    8
Mf Rhys Johnstone          6    2    8     Mf Jordi Navarro          10    1   11
Fw Philipp Hoffmann       13    2   15     Mf Lok Lín                 6    1    7
Fw Nathan Phillips        12    2   14     Fw Jens Kristensen        13    2   15
Fw Corey Williams          9    2   11     Fw Hayden Marshall         6    2    8
Fw Victor Jourdan          6    2    8     Fw Harry Balfour           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 31 37 48        ROSTER TOTALS       5  8 42 18 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 31 37 57         T O T A L S        8  9 49 18 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.83 (no red card)

Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.69 (no second yellow)

Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.89 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.58 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.09 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.3 (no red card)

Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.42 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.2 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk James Wood: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 26.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card)

Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 25.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 86.07 (no red card)

Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 86.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.75 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 93.99 (no red card)

Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 44.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 46.67 (no red card)

Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no red card)

Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 63.44 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 25.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.07 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.08 (no red card)

Fw Harry Balfour: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.16 (no injury) 
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 42.79 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Philipp Koch is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Philipp Koch new match skill level =  8
      Philipp Koch new match total level =  10
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 27.32 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 91.31 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk James Wood: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 59.48 (no injury) 
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury) 
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.93 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.49 (no injury) 
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.37 (no injury) 
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.34 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.86 (no injury) 
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Jens Kristensen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jens Kristensen new match skill level =  7
      Jens Kristensen new match total level =  9
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Balfour: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Dean SL 13
   - Defending Gk: James Wood SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 37 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Larson SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            15  13  23  37  57
  Tonbridge Angels         8   9  49  18  22

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (57 - 49); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((37 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 18.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 57.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 83.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 17.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 27.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         8   9  49  18  22
  Luton Town FC            15  13  23  37  57

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 23)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
We have an awful record at Kenilworth Road and not expecting to change that.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/18 - 3:24 PM  
Andy Shaw rides into Luton's ground with one mission — lock the gate and strangle the life out of this match. One nil and gone, that's his gospel. Respect the grind.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/18 - 7:30 PM  
One way traffic and we got our just desserts.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/27 - 5:23 PM  
 
 
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