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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins          15    1   16     Gk Daniel Sansom           6    2    8
Sw Kai Laidlaw            12    1   13     Sw Leo McNeill            11    1   12
Df Axel Lacour            13    0   13     Df Callum Henderson       11    1   12
Df Baron Jackson          11    1   12     Df Declan MacLellan       10    2   12
Df Gareth Trickelbank     11    0   11     Df Hector  Araya           6    2    8
Mf Gabriel Welbeck        13    1   14     Df Roger Thomas            3    2    5
Mf Gareth Scott           11    0   11     Mf Simon Müller           10    0   10
Fw Fernando Cano          13    0   13     Mf Martin Lejeune          6    2    8
Fw Sam East               15    0   15     Mf Florian Smets           3    2    5
Fw Elliot Bunyan          11    1   12     Fw Harvey Barrett          6    2    8
Fw Nick Baumann            6    2    8     Fw Marty Compton           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 36 25 48        ROSTER TOTALS       8 12 37 23 13    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 36 25 55         T O T A L S        8 15 41 23 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 96.04 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.55 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.91 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.15 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.15 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.2 (no second yellow)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.93 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.95 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.85 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.06 (no red card)

Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.69 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)

Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.55 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.91 (no red card)

Df Hector  Araya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.26 (no red card)

Df Roger Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.09 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.78 (no red card)

Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.86 (no red card)

Mf Florian Smets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.2 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no red card)

Fw Marty Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 32.81 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.79 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.0 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.02 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.11 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.21 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.89 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) 
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.7 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Daniel Sansom: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 84.21 (no injury) 
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.03 (no injury) 
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.92 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.05 (no injury) 
Df Hector  Araya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.4 (no injury) 
Df Roger Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.68 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.03 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.66 (no injury) 
Mf Florian Smets: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.2 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.34 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Compton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Sansom SL 6

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Callum Henderson SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  13  36  25  55
  Ilkeston Town FC         8  15  41  23  13

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 14 (55 - 41); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 8 ((36 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Axel Lacour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 5.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Axel Lacour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 10.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 38.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 74.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 29.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 86.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 62.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         8  15  41  23  13
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  13  36  25  55

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 36)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 4  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Olmec Steve taking his warriors into Rushden's fortress — this is where character gets tested. Show them what Ilkeston are made of.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/20 - 7:30 PM  
Steve is always a difficult game
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/22 - 8:05 AM  
 
 
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