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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:57:04 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Walsh             12    2   14     Gk Leon Farrell            6    2    8
Sw Rendor Veres           15    2   17     Sw Keith Davis            13    2   15
Df Valentin Peralta       10    2   12     Df Finlay Butcher         10    2   12
Df Adam Clarke             6    2    8     Df Steven Gascoigne        9    0    9
Mf Francis Brakspear      10    2   12     Df Joshua Simpson          3    2    5
Mf Robert O'Neal           6    2    8     Mf Jonathan Håkansson     11    1   12
Fw Niall Maguire          11    0   11     Mf Finn McMillan           7    2    9
Fw Albin Nilsson           8    2   10     Mf Alex Turner             3    2    5
Fw Carsten Petersen        7    2    9     Fw Ben Byrne              13    1   14
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo           6    2    8     Fw Harley Dowson          10    1   11
Fw Francis Wilson          3    2    5     Fw Ze'ev Bar               3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 20 20 43        ROSTER TOTALS       8 15 26 26 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      14 17 20 20 52         T O T A L S       10 15 31 28 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.22 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.36 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.42 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.11 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.1 (no red card)

Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.87 (no second yellow)

Fw Niall Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.82 (no red card)

Fw Albin Nilsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.53 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.96 (no second yellow)

Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.22 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.01 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.22 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)

Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.88 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.28 (no red card)

Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.4 (no red card)

Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.05 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.56 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.39 (no red card)

Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.44 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.13 (no injury) 
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.89 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.39 (no injury) 
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.51 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.7 (no injury) 
Fw Albin Nilsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.17 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no injury) 
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.77 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.41 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.83 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.0 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.68 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.79 (no injury) 
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury) 
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.57 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.89 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Niall Maguire SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 6

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Byrne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 12

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         14  17  20  20  52
  FC United of Manchester  10  15  31  28  30

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 21 (52 - 31); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Albin Nilsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Albin Nilsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Albin Nilsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Niall Maguire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 66.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  10  15  31  28  30
  Burton Albion FC         14  17  20  20  52

FC United of Manchester is Playing For A Draw!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 5 (30 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Håkansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 3  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
 
Match Notes
13 seasons since we’ve topped Burton. Probably not going to change that on the road
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/20 - 4:03 PM
Closer than we thought it would be! Someday (maybe) we’ll be good enough to challenge Dr. White on his grounds
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/26 - 4:45 PM
 
 
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