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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 42 // Landing
 
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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reece Wilkinson        14    1   15     Gk Jermaine Anderson      14    2   16
Df Taylor Alexander       13    0   13     Sw Daniel Lorimar         14    2   16
Df Graham Pike            11    0   11     Df Gonzalo Sanz           16    1   17
Df Emilio Esposito         6    2    8     Df Harley Heskey          10    2   12
Mf David King             13    0   13     Df Bryan Martin            6    2    8
Mf Harry Harvey           12    0   12     Mf Algernon Harvey        10    1   11
Mf Javier Diaz            11    0   11     Mf Francisco Reyes         6    2    8
Mf Gunnar Vik             10    0   10     Fw Marco Beerman          10    2   12
Mf Davide Martini          6    2    8     Fw Oscar Williams         10    1   11
Fw Logan Edwards          12    2   14     Fw Marcelo Guzman          8    1    9
Fw Benjamin Munier         6    2    8     Fw Algernon James          8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 32 54 22        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 37 19 41    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 32 63 22         T O T A L S       16 16 37 19 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.96 (no red card)

Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.66 (no red card)

Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.64 (no red card)

Df Emilio Esposito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.6 (no red card)

Mf David King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.92 (no red card)

Mf Harry Harvey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.03 (no red card)

Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.66 (no second yellow)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.09 (no red card)

Mf Davide Martini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.86 (no red card)

Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.67 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Munier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.39 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.31 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.92 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)

Df Harley Heskey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.83 (no red card)

Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.39 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.14 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.28 (no red card)

Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.34 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.57 (no second yellow)

Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.89 (no red card)

Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.15 (no injury) 
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.66 (no injury) 
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.05 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Esposito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.56 (no injury) 
Mf David King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.16 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.33 (no injury) 
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.97 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.6 (no injury) 
Mf Davide Martini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.14 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.4 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Munier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.63 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.07 (no injury) 
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.56 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.98 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.35 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.2 (no injury) 
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.36 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.11 (no injury) 
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Alexander SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jermaine Anderson SL 14

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 14

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            15   0  32  63  22
  Kendal Town FC           16  16  37  19  41

Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 37)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 22 ((63 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 41) / 5;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Davide Martini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Davide Martini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Davide Martini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Javier Diaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf David King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 8.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Davide Martini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 69.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf David King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf David King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf David King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Davide Martini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Javier Diaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Javier Diaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Mf Harry Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           16  16  37  19  41
  Boston United            15   0  32  63  22

Boston United is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (41 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 63) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Harley Heskey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Marco Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 0  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 3
 
Match Notes
Kendal surprisingly below the Mendoza line. Hopefully we are not their springboard back to the top.
Rob (Boston United) 05/23 - 3:53 PM  
Had to google the meaning of Mendoza line. Just proves how much smarter Rob is than everyone else.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/23 - 5:20 PM  
The SW made the difference, but no idea how this was 3-0!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/23 - 7:08 PM  
Three goals. Away from home. Boston United scored none of them. The mathematics here are simple, which somehow makes the whole affair more depressing, not less.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/23 - 7:31 PM  
OOF. Yeah, I'm not sure how that became a 3-0 scoreline. I thought we had good tactics.
Rob (Boston United) 05/30 - 3:27 PM  
 
 
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