(H)
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC AFC WIMBLEDON
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk William Williams 15 2 17 Gk Guillaume Hebert 15 2 17
Sw Christian Murray 12 2 14 Df Jamie Aikenhead 10 2 12
Df Albert Goodwin 11 2 13 Df Ryan Barber 13 1 14
Df Zak Strachan 10 2 12 Df Jed Dury 10 2 12
Df Alexander Campbell 6 2 8 Df Oscar Evans 10 2 12
Mf Louis Ferdinand 10 2 12 Df Elias Schneider 6 2 8
Mf Patrick Torres 10 1 11 Mf Nigel Howells 13 2 15
Fw Reece Reid 13 2 15 Mf Manuel Iglesias 10 1 11
Fw Archie Hill 16 2 18 Fw Carrington Bates 13 2 15
Fw Ignacio Castillo 11 0 11 Fw Harry Pastor 13 2 15
Fw Young Soo Shin 10 1 11 Fw Brian Sanchez 6 1 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 14 33 23 55 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 58 26 37
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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19 14 33 23 64 T O T A L S 20 0 58 26 37
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk William Williams: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no red card)
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.48 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Christian Murray new match skill level = 6
Christian Murray new match total level = 8
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.35 (no red card)
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.21 (no red card)
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.67 (no red card)
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.59 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.7 (no second yellow)
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.79 (no red card)
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.65 (no red card)
Fw Ignacio Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.74 (no red card)
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.6 (no red card)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 18.78 (no red card)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.12 (no red card)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.27 (no red card)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.15 (no red card)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.94 (no red card)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.74 (no red card)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.83 (no red card)
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no red card)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.18 (no red card)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.58 (no red card)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.75 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk William Williams: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 93.28 (no injury)
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.69 (no injury)
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no injury)
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury)
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.08 (no injury)
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.66 (no injury)
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no injury)
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.47 (no injury)
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.46 (no injury)
Fw Ignacio Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no injury)
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 58.54 (no injury)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no injury)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no injury)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no injury)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.51 (no injury)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury)
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.26 (no injury)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.36 (no injury)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.02 (no injury)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Archie Hill SL 16
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryan Barber SL 13
- Defending Gk: William Williams SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 92 (pk blocked)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Shepshed Dynamo FC 19 8 33 23 64
AFC Wimbledon 20 0 58 26 37
AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 3 (64 - 58) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 37) / 3; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Fw Ignacio Castillo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 93.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 20 0 58 26 37
Shepshed Dynamo FC 19 8 33 23 64
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 4 (37 - 33); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 64) / 5; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1 - AFC WIMBLEDON 1
Match Notes
Tough road assignment against the leader……can we Knick anything here?
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/17 - 4:15 PM
Shepshed Dynamo versus AFC Wimbledon. A match exists. I have confirmed this. Beyond that, I find my enthusiasm for further analysis largely indistinguishable from the void.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/18 - 7:30 PM
Shepshed hosting AFC Wimbledon — the home side will need to be sharp from the off. Big test for both on this ground today.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/22 - 7:30 PM
Championship decider this early in the season, make no mistake.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/23 - 5:24 PM
Perhaps, but there are about 6 other squads contending and KEN ain’t one of them.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/23 - 5:54 PM
Disappointing……we had 3 points and squandered it
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/23 - 7:21 PM