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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:22 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            13    2   15     Gk Lee Calhoun            12    2   14
Df Mathias Sørensen       13    2   15     Sw Daniel Clarke          12    0   12
Df Ciaran Healy           11    2   13     Df Dennis Ruddle           4    2    6
Df Luke Crowley           10    0   10     Df Barry Lane             13    2   15
Df Steve Gordon            6    2    8     Df Gabriel Carvalho       10    2   12
Mf Fernando Rocha         13    1   14     Mf Carlos Torres          14    2   16
Mf Sean Long              11    2   13     Mf Tom Fortune-West        6    2    8
Mf Bailey Oakes           10    2   12     Fw Frank Gerrard          13    2   15
Mf Jordi Navarro           6    2    8     Fw Carleton Baker         11    2   13
Fw Scott Marshall         12    2   14     Fw Jakob Hofmann           6    2    8
Fw Daniel Barbosa          6    2    8     Fw Oscar Welbeck           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 46 47 22        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 33 24 41    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 46 47 31         T O T A L S       17 12 33 24 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 42.93 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.58 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.02 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.81 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.04 (no red card)

Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.5 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.97 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.9 (no red card)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.66 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.88 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.18 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)

Df Dennis Ruddle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.37 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.06 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.75 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.92 (no red card)

Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.25 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.8 (no red card)

Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)

Fw Jakob Hofmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.05 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 96.11 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.06 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 24.18 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.31 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.75 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.04 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.71 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Lee Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 74.99 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Daniel Clarke is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Dennis Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.43 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 86.0 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.11 (no injury) 
Mf Tom Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 17.13 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.19 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Carleton Baker is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jakob Hofmann: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.19 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Welbeck: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 80.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mathias Sørensen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Lee Calhoun SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Torres SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         17   0  46  47  31
  York City FC             17  12  33  24  42

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 33)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 12 ((47 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((46 - 42) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             17  12  33  24  42
  Tonbridge Angels         17   0  46  47  31

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 46)
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Gabriel Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  YORK CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
York started with two victories, can we stop them.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/18 - 6:03 PM
We played well but couldn’t convert.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/26 - 4:08 PM
 
 
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