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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           15    2   17     Gk Leo Dury               15    2   17
Df Patrick Stretch         7    2    9     Sw Isaac Murray           13    2   15
Df Luca Herrmann          14    1   15     Df Luke MacTavish         10    2   12
Df Louie Ince             14    2   16     Df Lõrinc Vincze          10    2   12
Df Morgan Barmby           8    2   10     Mf Andrew Durman          11    2   13
Df Ellis Cleverley         3    2    5     Mf Bernd Kaiser           10    2   12
Mf Leon Baumann           15    2   17     Fw Tobias Walter          13    2   15
Mf Thomas Williams        14    1   15     Fw Ruben Diez             16    2   18
Fw Lorenzo Santana        10    1   11     Fw Freddie Rees           10    2   12
Fw Nils Pettersson         6    2    8     Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         10    0   10
Fw Samuel Rose             6    2    8     Fw Ollie O'Brien           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 55 32 27        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 24 25 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 55 32 36         T O T A L S       20 15 24 25 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.68 (no red card)

Df Patrick Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.6 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.09 (no red card)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card)

Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.78 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.54 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.53 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.77 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.01 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 95.72 (no red card)

Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)

Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.91 (no red card)

Df Lõrinc Vincze: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.05 (no red card)

Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.35 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.56 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.42 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Freddie Rees new match skill level =  5
      Freddie Rees new match total level =  7

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.3 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 61.02 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.99 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.36 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.45 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.23 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.93 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.77 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.96 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.08 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.31 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.1 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 9.23 (no injury) 
Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.84 (no injury) 
Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.74 (no injury) 
Df Lõrinc Vincze: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.66 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.78 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.5 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.94 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.39 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 99 (pk blocked)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        17   0  55  32  36
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       20  15  24  25  58

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 12 (36 - 24); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 28.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 31.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       20  15  24  25  58
  Welling United FC        17   0  55  32  36

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 3 (58 - 55); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
 
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