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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         AFC FYLDE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Daniel Wilkinson        9    0    9     Gk James MacLeod           6    2    8
Sw Simon Howells           6    0    6     Df Ryan Lasserre          10    1   11
Df Peter Price            11   -1   10     Df Jeff Hughes             6    2    8
Df Jan Beerman            10   -2    8     Df Matheo Seguin           3    2    5
Df Nathan Doyle            6    2    8     Mf Wes Lambert             6    2    8
Mf Ernest Dohm             7   -2    5     Mf Euan Barclay            3    2    5
Mf Florian Fuchs           6   -1    5     Mf Samuel Cabral           3    2    5
Mf Marty Nicholls          5    2    7     Fw Stian Sørensen         11    0   11
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      11   -1   10     Fw Joe Cleverley           9    2   11
Fw Alejandro Vera         10   -1    9     Fw Rodrigo Carvalho        6    2    8
Fw Dave Byrne              3    2    5     Fw Max Daly                3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  6 26 17 24        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 24 18 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  6 26 17 33         T O T A L S        8  0 24 18 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.01 (no red card)

Sw Simon Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.27 (no red card)

Df Peter Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.57 (no red card)

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.1 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.5 (no red card)

Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.33 (no red card)

Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.15 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.09 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card)

Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.06 (no red card)

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.41 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.49 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.02 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.23 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.14 (no red card)

Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.98 (no red card)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.23 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.23 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Daniel Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.48 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.46 (no injury) 
Df Peter Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.3 (no injury) 
Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.06 (no injury) 
Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.78 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.38 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Marty Nicholls is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marty Nicholls new match skill level =  3
      Marty Nicholls new match total level =  5
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.8 (no injury) 
Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.53 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.17 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.01 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.17 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.98 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.6 (no injury) 
Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.59 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.99 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.86 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Rodrigo Carvalho is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rodrigo Carvalho new match skill level =  3
      Rodrigo Carvalho new match total level =  5
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter Price SL 11
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 6

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stian Sørensen SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Wilkinson SL 9

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9   6  26  15  33
  AFC Fylde                8   0  24  18  32

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 9 (33 - 24); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 18) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Dave Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 11.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Dave Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 88.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 88.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                8   0  24  18  32
  Chippenham Town FC       9   6  26  15  33

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 6 (32 - 26); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 2 ((18 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Samuel Cabral
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 94.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 2  -  AFC FYLDE 2
 
Match Notes
All the best Phil, hoping to keep the home win streak alive
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 05/29 - 10:31 PM
 
 
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