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Thursday, November 21st, 2024 - 05:54:10 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Singh            7    0    7     Gk Thiago Alves           12    2   14
Sw Dae-Jung  Park          4    0    4     Sw çngel Gabriel López     6    2    8
Df Mateo Hernández         5    2    7     Df Joshua Evans            9    0    9
Df Theo Cole               5    1    6     Df Jeff Charlton           3    2    5
Df Mathias Garreau         3    2    5     Df Maximillian Schäfer     3    2    5
Df Felipe Cardoso          3    2    5     Mf Giles Walsh             6    2    8
Mf Conor Farrell           5    2    7     Mf Gast?n Franco           6    2    8
Mf Martin Kristensen       3    2    5     Mf Federico Gentile        3    2    5
Mf Alfredo Vargas          3    2    5     Fw Santiago Rubio          6    2    8
Fw Andrew Young            6    0    6     Fw Rhys McColl             3    2    5
Fw Ashley Lennon           3    0    3     Fw Jonas Lien              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  4 23 17  9        ROSTER TOTALS      14  8 19 21 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  4 32 17  9         T O T A L S       14  8 24 21 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)

Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.61 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.74 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.47 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.74 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.09 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.66 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.38 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.76 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.15 (no red card)

Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.03 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.11 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.65 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.87 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.92 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.74 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.73 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.05 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.99 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.94 (no injury) 
Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.67 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.23 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.29 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.69 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.51 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.22 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.51 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.24 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury) 
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.88 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.23 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.34 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.32 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.47 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.65 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.76 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.59 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.96 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andrew Young SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 12

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joshua Evans SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 7

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   4  32  17   9
  Carlton Town FC          14   8  24  21  18

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (9 - 24)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 5 ((32 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Theo Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Felipe Cardoso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Theo Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Theo Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Mateo Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          14   8  24  21  18
  Forest Green Rovers FC   7   4  32  17   9

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 32)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((21 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((24 - 9) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Maximillian Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joshua Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 70.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
even at home, this is gonna be a loss
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/31 - 7:49 PM
 
 
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