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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
Youth Cup Final
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Df Luke Jackson            9    2   11     Df Michio Mori            15    2   17
Df Oscar Evans             5    2    7     Df William Munro           9    2   11
Df Max Wolf                3    2    5     Df Shaun Gibson            5    2    7
Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16     Mf Liam Cox               20    2   22
Mf Henning Pedersen        9    2   11     Mf Ryan Welbeck           10    2   12
Mf Manuel Iglesias         5    2    7     Mf Logan Blair             6    2    8
Mf Reuben Thomas          13    2   15     Mf Arturo Molina           5    2    7
Fw Sheng Hé                9    2   11     Fw Antonio Leon            9    0    9
Fw Harry Pastor            5    2    7     Fw Jay Palmer              9    2   11
Fw Carrington Bates        4    2    6     Fw Mehdi Le gal            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 23 49 24        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 35 49 27    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 23 49 24         T O T A L S       20  0 35 49 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 28.53 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.28 (no second yellow)

Df Max Wolf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.35 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.39 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.0 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.77 (no second yellow)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.53 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.94 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.08 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.42 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.95 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.41 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.75 (no red card)

Mf Logan Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no second yellow)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.28 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 95.94 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.31 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.82 (no injury) 
Df Max Wolf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.75 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.36 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.89 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.85 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.29 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.99 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.4 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.62 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.08 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.57 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.35 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.77 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Blair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.81 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.71 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.05 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.31 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  23  49  24
  Kingstonian FC           20   0  35  49  29

Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 35)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((49 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 29) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 0


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           20   0  35  49  29
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  23  49  24

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 3 (29 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((49 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 3 ((35 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df William Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Shaun Gibson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 87.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df William Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mehdi Le gal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 12.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Good matchup for the kids
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 8:47 PM
This will be a close final unless Wimbledon deploy senior resources on a league topping final session
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/14 - 5:52 AM
The stats page for GPP says:
0 - Dons
5 - K's

Will that be the difference?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/17 - 11:21 PM
Well the league championship always takes precedent, but sadly that appears out of reach. Many draws that should have been wins and the first game loss to KEN was silly too. Check out the numbers. The rebuild continues as we fell short again
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/18 - 12:14 AM
Can Dohm´s Dons do the double? I guess they will be hoping to win it on penalties as usual
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 07/20 - 12:23 AM
Kingstonian just won the Youth Cup a couple seasons ago. It looks like Jason is trying to build himself a reputation.
Rob (Boston United) 07/20 - 2:16 AM
Dave Doubles up on the Cups with two wins.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/20 - 5:19 AM
I agonized over our tactics for this match. Glad to get it right.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/20 - 7:07 PM
Congrats Jason.....we were fortunate to make it this far.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/21 - 12:37 AM
Cagey final. Congrats Jason
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/21 - 6:20 AM
Dang. My money was on Dave for the double!
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/22 - 4:21 AM
At this point, is it officially a curse for WIM? And what animal was offended? An albatross (Hemingway)? A goat (Cubs)? Maybe a hamster or ferret?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/23 - 6:49 PM
Congratulations Jason. A very tense final but well deserved.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/25 - 10:40 PM
Great Match
Aires (Evesham United FC) 08/01 - 5:37 AM
 
 
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