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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Green           16    2   18     Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19
Df Marty Hunter            9    2   11     Df Luke Jackson            9    2   11
Df Theo Rowe               5    2    7     Df Oscar Evans             5    2    7
Mf Joe Walsh              15    2   17     Df Max Wolf                3    2    5
Mf Finn Paterson           9    2   11     Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    2   15
Mf Arsenio  Pérez          5    2    7     Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16
Fw Cong Li                16    2   18     Df Henning Pedersen        7    2    9
Fw Philipp Wagner          9   -1    8     Df Manuel Iglesias         3    2    5
Fw Finn Maier              9    2   11     Fw Sheng Hé                9    2   11
Fw Giles Lindsay           5    2    7     Mf Harry Pastor            3    2    5
Fw Riley Newton            5    2    7     Fw Carrington Bates        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 18 35 51        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 37 36 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 18 35 51         T O T A L S       19  0 45 36 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no red card)

Df Marty Hunter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.2 (no second yellow)

Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.27 (no red card)

Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.4 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.97 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.18 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.94 (no red card)

Fw Finn Maier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.36 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card)

Fw Riley Newton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.67 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.45 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.67 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.7 (no red card)

Df Max Wolf: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.82 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.95 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.37 (no red card)

Df Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.14 (no red card)

Df Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.82 (no second yellow)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.86 (no red card)

Mf Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.94 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 85.79 (no injury) 
Df Marty Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 99.14 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.57 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.51 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 83.3 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.07 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.79 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 63.53 (no injury) 
Fw Finn Maier: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 66.0 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lindsay: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.52 (no injury) 
Fw Riley Newton: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 93.12 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 2
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 73.48 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.4 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no injury) 
Df Max Wolf: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 10.73 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Df Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.01 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.48 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.93 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 45.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 92 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           21   0  18  35  51
  AFC Wimbledon            19   0  45  36  18

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (51 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 18) / 5;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Finn Maier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            19   0  45  36  18
  Kendal Town FC           21   0  18  35  51

Kendal Town FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 18)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 35) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
KENDAL TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Kendal Town FC Gk (Home): Gareth Green SL 16

   - AFC Wimbledon Gk (Away): Kenzie Ross SL 17

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Gareth Green (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 84 (PK BLOCKED!!) (KEN - 0  :  WIM - 0)

 Round 1: Kenzie Ross (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 0  :  WIM - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Cong Li (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 39 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 1  :  WIM - 1)

 Round 2: Oscar Hall (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 1  :  WIM - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Joe Walsh (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 2  :  WIM - 2)

 Round 3: Aarron Shepherd (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 100 (PK BLOCKED!!) (KEN - 2  :  WIM - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Marty Hunter (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 2)

 Round 4: Luke Jackson (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 44 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Finn Paterson (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 86 (PK BLOCKED!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 3)

 Round 5: Sheng Hé (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 3)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Philipp Wagner (KEN) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 82 (PK BLOCKED!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 3)

 Round 6: Henning Pedersen (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (KEN - 3  :  WIM - 4)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
KENDAL TOWN FC 3  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 4
 
Match Notes
Isn’t this supposed to be the finals matchup, so Dave can be 0-for-9 in Youth Cup finals?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/09 - 3:46 PM
Thanks Kevin.....thanks for noticing that.....we don't expect to get the monkey off our back this season either.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/10 - 10:02 PM
These two managers do not like each other. Somehow Rebuilding Dave has more wins in this fixture (31 to 28) despite losing EVERY match to Ian if you read Honest Dave's Propoganda...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/11 - 11:08 PM
Who is Ian?
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/13 - 4:14 AM
Good to see a couple of upstarts making it deep into a tournament.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/13 - 12:46 PM
Justice was served today
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/13 - 8:02 PM
A bore draw penalties thought this might be tomorrow night
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/13 - 9:26 PM
Dave was played for the PKs all along and it paid off. Perhaps boring, yet effective
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/15 - 1:15 AM
 
 
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