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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KINGSTONIAN FC                             ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17     Gk Mark Daugherty         13    2   15
Df Michio Mori            14    2   16     Df Matty Parsons          14    2   16
Df William Munro           9    2   11     Df Liam Conner             9    2   11
Df Shaun Gibson            5    2    7     Df Elias Müller            4    2    6
Fw Liam Cox               17    2   19     Mf Esteban Gallet          9    1   10
Mf Ryan Welbeck            9    2   11     Mf Kai Jones               9    2   11
Mf Logan Blair             6    2    8     Mf Kenzie Munro            4    2    6
Mf Arturo Molina           5    2    7     Fw Leon Fischer           15    1   16
Fw Antonio Leon            9    0    9     Mf Moritz Schultze         7    2    9
Fw Jay Palmer              9    2   11     Fw André Souza             9    2   11
Fw Mehdi Le gal            5    2    7     Mf Cole Hamilton           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 34 26 46        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 33 41 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 34 26 49         T O T A L S       18  0 33 42 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.82 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.19 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.58 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.99 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.94 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.99 (no red card)

Mf Logan Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.52 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.5 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.95 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.97 (no second yellow)

Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.24 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.62 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.08 (no red card)

Df Elias Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.43 (no red card)

Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.0 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no second yellow)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Mf Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.69 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card)

Mf Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.57 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.05 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.9 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.99 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.55 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Blair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.05 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.34 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.5 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.77 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.84 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.38 (no injury) 
Df Elias Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.13 (no injury) 
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.89 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.76 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.81 (no injury) 
Mf Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury) 
Mf Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Fischer SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           19   0  34  26  49
  Ilkeston Town FC         18   0  33  42  27

Ilkeston Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 8 (49 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df William Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df William Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Mehdi Le gal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Ilkeston Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18   0  33  42  27
  Kingstonian FC           19   0  34  26  49

Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 34)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 16 ((42 - 26) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Kai Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Kai Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Kenzie Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Kenzie Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 11.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 30.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Kai Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 68.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Esteban Gallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 22.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KINGSTONIAN FC 2  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
With Kingstonian the favo(u)rite, will Kevin author a one-off B.U.M. report should the underdog Ilkeston advance?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/11 - 11:07 PM
Why would you say something like that, Al?
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 7:02 PM
Because I'm a bad person?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/12 - 10:03 PM
I'll testify to that!
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/13 - 4:16 AM
I knew Phil would have my back!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/13 - 4:09 PM
This one looks like a good fun one to watch
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 5:40 PM
We got very lucky, and a great game from our keeper
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/13 - 8:43 PM
Good luck in the final, Jason.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/13 - 8:52 PM
I have nothing further to add.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/13 - 8:52 PM
That’s a tidy win
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/13 - 9:26 PM
I think your spellchecker is faulty Compo. It's spelled l u c k y
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/13 - 9:33 PM
 
 
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