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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins           8    2   10     Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17
Df Markus Jacobsen        13    2   15     Sw Daniel Brown            2    2    4
Df Gareth Trickelbank      8    2   10     Df Ethan Shaw             13    2   15
Df Axel Lacour             4    2    6     Df Barry Lane              8    2   10
Mf Niklas König           14    2   16     Df Gabriel Carvalho        4    2    6
Mf Christopher Cannon      8    2   10     Mf Elias Schmidt           9    2   11
Mf Gabriel Welbeck         4    2    6     Mf Luis Weber              4    2    6
Fw William Hay            15    2   17     Fw Juan Acosta            16    1   17
Fw Sam East                8    2   10     Fw Frank Gerrard           8    2   10
Fw Fernando Cano           4    2    6     Fw Brandon Booth           8    2   10
Fw Jose Soria              3    2    5     Fw Carleton Baker          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 31 32 38        ROSTER TOTALS      17  4 31 17 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 31 32 39         T O T A L S       17  4 32 17 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.08 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.41 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.73 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.84 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.37 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.05 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.98 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.23 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.71 (no red card)

Fw Jose Soria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.35 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.4 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.34 (no second yellow)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.18 (no second yellow)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.83 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.9 (no red card)

Mf Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.85 (no red card)

Mf Luis Weber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.36 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.01 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.86 (no second yellow)

Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.38 (no red card)

Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 97.01 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.78 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.96 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.32 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.87 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.31 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.59 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.44 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.74 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Soria: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.04 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.18 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.69 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.23 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.43 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.18 (no injury) 
Mf Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Elias Schmidt is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Elias Schmidt new match skill level =  5
      Elias Schmidt new match total level =  7
Mf Luis Weber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.9 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.46 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.48 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton Baker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Hay SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Juan Acosta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 8

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   13   0  31  32  39
  York City FC             17   4  32  13  43

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 7 (39 - 32); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 10 ((32 - 13) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jose Soria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             17   4  32  13  43
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   13   0  31  32  39

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (43 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((13 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1  -  YORK CITY FC 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Gk (Home): Kevin Hawkins SL 8

   - York City FC Gk (Away): Marcus Mathisen SL 15

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: William Hay (RUS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 0)

 Round 1: Juan Acosta (YOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Niklas König (RUS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 88 (PK BLOCKED!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 1)

 Round 2: Marcus Mathisen (YOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 94 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Markus Jacobsen (RUS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 91 (PK BLOCKED!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 2)

 Round 3: Ethan Shaw (YOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 90 (PK BLOCKED!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Kevin Hawkins (RUS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 87 (PK BLOCKED!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 2)

 Round 4: Barry Lane (YOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 89 (PK BLOCKED!!) (RUS - 1  :  YOR - 2)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Gareth Trickelbank (RUS) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (RUS - 2  :  YOR - 2)

 Round 5: Frank Gerrard (YOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (RUS - 2  :  YOR - 3)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1  -  YORK CITY FC 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2  -  YORK CITY FC 3
 
Match Notes
Will be a tough match, good luck James!
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/15 - 10:14 PM
Maybe a bit unlucky here but still a tight match with York having the advantage in PKs
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/22 - 11:00 PM
 
 
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