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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19     Gk Luca Werner             4    2    6
Df Aarron Lowe            14    1   15     Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21
Df Luke Jackson            8    2   10     Df Sean Callahan           9    2   11
Df Oscar Evans             4    2    6     Df Luke Crowley            9    2   11
Df Max Wolf                2    2    4     Df Mathias Sørensen        4    2    6
Mf Henning Pedersen        8    2   10     Mf Joe Barrett            14    2   16
Mf Manuel Iglesias         4    2    6     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          9    2   11
Fw Reuben Thomas          14    1   15     Mf Fernando Rocha          4    2    6
Fw Sheng Hé                9    2   11     Fw Liam Thwaite           14    2   16
Fw Harry Pastor            4    2    6     Fw Matais Juarez           8    2   10
Fw Carrington Bates        4    2    6     Fw Michael Turner          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 35 16 38        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 49 33 32    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  3    
       0  0  0  7  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 35 23 38         T O T A L S        9  0 49 36 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.25 (no red card)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.92 (no second yellow)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.23 (no red card)

Df Max Wolf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)

Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.43 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.54 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)

Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.86 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.94 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.43 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 52.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 1.59 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.34 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.06 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.05 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.12 (no second yellow)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 29.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.25 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.01 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.82 (no injury) 
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 29.48 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 22.28 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Df Max Wolf: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) 
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 88.73 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 15.83 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 39.81 (no injury) 
Fw Sheng Hé: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 47.78 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.13 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.92 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.2 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.99 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.06 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.97 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.18 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.29 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.24 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Lowe SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 4

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  35  23  38
  Tonbridge Angels         9   0  49  36  35

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 49)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 0


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         9   0  49  36  35
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  35  23  38

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 35)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 7 ((36 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 3 ((49 - 38) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - AFC Wimbledon Gk (Home): Kenzie Ross SL 17

   - Tonbridge Angels Gk (Away): Luca Werner SL 4

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Kenzie Ross (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 98 (PK BLOCKED!!) (WIM - 0  :  TON - 0)

 Round 1: Agostino Beretta (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 0  :  TON - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Aarron Lowe (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 40 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 1  :  TON - 1)

 Round 2: Joe Barrett (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 16 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 1  :  TON - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Reuben Thomas (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 2  :  TON - 2)

 Round 3: Liam Thwaite (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 71 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 2  :  TON - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Sheng Hé (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 3  :  TON - 3)

 Round 4: Sean Callahan (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 94 (PK BLOCKED!!) (WIM - 3  :  TON - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Luke Jackson (WIM) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (WIM - 4  :  TON - 3)

 Round 5: Luke Crowley (TON) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 67 (PK BLOCKED!!) (WIM - 4  :  TON - 3)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
AFC WIMBLEDON 4  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3
 
Match Notes
Didn’t expect to get this far but now we are can we go one better? Good luck Dave.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/05 - 10:22 PM
Tough matchup for WIM…..fear this will be the end of the line. Cheers Andy
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/06 - 12:23 PM
We knew PKs were our only chance and we were fortunate to prevail.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/07 - 12:53 PM
As soon as it went to penalties we were in deep trouble.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/11 - 10:40 PM
 
 
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